Single market, competition & trade

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Die Zinsen sollten niedrig bleiben

Christian Odendahl
03 February 2019
Der Tagesspiegel
Nach zwei Jahren robusten Wachstums deuten alle Indikatoren darauf hin, dass sich die europäische Wirtschaft abkühlt, auch wenn sie noch nicht auf eine Rezession zusteuert.

The other May problem

Sam Lowe
01 February 2019
Tortoise
Many officials believe we will need – and could easily get – an extension to the March 29 deadline for Brexit. But, with European elections looming in May, this may prove far trickier than we imagine.

PIIE: Trade Talks Episode 68: Brexit votes for uncertainty

Sam Lowe
19 January 2019
Soumaya Keynes and Chad Bown discuss the rocky departure of the United Kingdom from the European Union. Sam Lowe (Centre for European Reform) joins for an update on the latest political developments as Britain approaches the March 29, 2019 deadline. They then speak with Meredith Crowley (University of Cambridge) and Kyle Handley (University of Michigan) about new research on the economic impact that Brexit-related uncertainty has already had.

BBC Radio 4 - Today programme: Free trade negotiations

Sam Lowe
09 January 2019
Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform (from 2:24), speaks to the Today programme discussing the complexities of post-Brexit tariffs.

Food prices will go up, not down, after a no-deal Brexit – despite what Jacob Rees-Mogg says

Sam Lowe
07 January 2019
iNews
Could Brexit mean cheaper food on our supermarket shelves? The idea has been propagated by politicians such as Jacob Rees-Mogg and business people like JD Wetherspoon’s owner Tim Martin, who promised lower prices in his “Beermat Manifesto”.

How can Father Christmas deliver presents in a no deal Brexit scenario? Baby, it's cold outside (the EU)

Sam Lowe
19 December 2018
Prospect
In the run up to 25th December, there is one issue that has not received half the attention it deserves: what happens to Father Christmas in December 2019 in the event of a no deal Brexit?

Brexit's impact on services

Sam Lowe
18 December 2018
E!Sharp
Trade in services has not received enough attention in the Brexit debate. But if Theresa May follows through on plans for the UK to leave the single market, UK services exports to the EU-27 will likely fall, in the case of financial services by more than half, and related jobs and tax revenues will suffer.

Whether transition extension or backstop, Britain needs to embrace the consequences

Sam Lowe
12 November 2018
The Times
If reports are correct, the landing zone for Northern Ireland and the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement is in sight.

May's reckoning with the Tory right over Brexit is fast approaching

12 November 2018
The Guardian
Over the years, different Conservative leaders have tended to use similar tactics to deal with the rightwing anti-EU minority in the party.

Bloomberg: How to trade the pound as Brexit talks near endgame

08 November 2018
Centre for European Reform Deputy Director John Springford and BlackRock Global Chief Investment Strategist Richard Turnill discuss the outlook for Brexit negotiations and the pound on "Bloomberg Surveillance."

Italy and the EU: There is no good outcome from here

24 October 2018
Prospect
The European Union has taken the unprecedented step of rejecting the Italian budget.

CER podcast: The cost of Brexit to June 2018

Beth Oppenheim, John Springford
24 October 2018
The UK economy is 2.5 per cent smaller as a result of the vote to leave the EU. John Springford talks to Beth Oppenheim about his latest analysis, how he has refined his modelling method and the implications of the findings. 

Regime Change? The European Economy to 2030

17 October 2018
Brink News
After a decade of putting out the fires of the Great Recession of 2008-09, the euro crisis of 2010-12, and the migration crisis, which blew up in 2015, now is the right time to ask: What regime does the European economy need by 2030?

The Guardian - Politics Weekly podcast: The Irish border, SNP conference and emotions in politics

11 October 2018
Heather Stewart is joined by Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, Katy Hayward and Lisa O’Carroll to discuss one of the toughest issues yet to be resolved in the Brexit negotiations: the Irish border.

Britain's best Brexit hope is a revised Chequers plan

03 October 2018
The Financial Times
A Brexit deal between the EU and the UK is more likely than not, because both sides really want one. But there is a serious chance of no deal, because of differences over the Irish “backstop”.

Weetabix wars and X-Men: Welcome to the wacky world of trade post-Brexit

Sam Lowe
03 October 2018
The New Statesman
As a UK that goes it alone will soon learn, trade disputes are complex, bizarre and at times, well, a little petty.

CER Bulletin podcast: Singapore-on-Thames; the Western Balkans; Italy

28 September 2018
In the CER Bulletin podcast, CER researchers brief podcast listeners on three of the most important topics for Europe this month. 

There’s nothing ‘super’ about Boris Johnson’s tired old Brexit ideas

Sam Lowe
28 September 2018
The Guardian
If Boris Johnson puts pen to paper and it doesn’t get on the front page of the Telegraph, did it really happen? I guess we’ll never know.

Jacob Rees-Mogg and fellow Brexiteers' latest trade proposals, fact-checked

Sam Lowe
24 September 2018
iNews
The past weeks have seen the publication of a stream of reports making the case for a harder Brexit.

Theresa May's Chequers plan may yet have some life in it

12 September 2018
Prospect
Theresa May’s Chequers plan for the future UK-EU relationship appears moribund.