Brexit news latest: Boris Johnson warned trade deal will be Canada minus if Britain severs ties with EU

15 November 2019
The Evening Standard
Charles Grant, director at the Centre for European Reform, laid out concerns after recent visits to Berlin and Paris. “Germans are fed up Brexit has taken so long, but believe that transition period will have to be extended beyond Dec 2020,” he tweeted. On the future trade relationship, he believes Berlin will “prioritise” seeking “level playing field” arrangements between the EU and UK.

Droht ein harter Brexit durch die Hintertür?

14 November 2019
Deutsche Welle
Ein sehr reduziertes Freihandelsabkommen, in dem nur Zölle und Warenverkehr geregelt werden, sei zwar schneller zu schaffen, meint John Springford vom Thinktank "Centre for European Reform", aber nicht in den verbleibenden elf Monaten im nächsten Jahr. Denn die Verhandlungen mit Großbritannien können überhaupt erst nach dem Brexit am 31. Januar 2020 beginnen.

Tightening up Schengen

Raoul Ueberecken
12 November 2019
Financial Times
Tightening up Schengen Raoul Ueberecken, a former EU official in charge of justice and home affairs, has written a report for the Centre for European Reform listing measures to reinforce the creaking Schengen borderless travel zone. 

Can UK get 'super Canada-plus' trade deal with EU by end of 2020?

12 November 2019
The Guardian
The UK will want a zero-tariff deal allowing the free flow of goods to and from the UK and the EU.However, this comes with strings attached. As Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said this “will be dependent on the UK complying with EU level playing field demands on state aid, the environment and labour rights”.

BBC Newsnight: Get Brexit done?

12 November 2019
"The term 'Get Brexit done' is very misleading, I suppose a more accurate term would be, 'get this phase of Brexit done', and then of course we move into the next phase" said Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform 

Sam Lowe: « l'accord Johnson sur le Brexit est proche d'un no deal »

12 November 2019
Les Echos
Dans une interview aux « Echos », Sam Lowe, du Centre for European Reform, explique pourquoi les entreprises britanniques ont un gros travail de préparation au Brexit devant elles et comment le Brexit va impacter la population.

Macron questioning NATO in Economist interview raises eyebrows about his methods

11 November 2019
“Macron has so many more ideas than other European leaders. But he would have more influence if he had the patience to build coalitions to defend them,” Charles Grant, director of the CER think-tank, recently pointed out.

How the megacities of Europe stole a continent's wealth

10 November 2019
The Observer
Last May the Centre for European Reform, a Brussels-based think-tank, published a paper entitled The Big European Sort? The diverging fortunes of Europe’s regions. The “sort” refers to a sifting process that is steadily transforming the demography of EU member states, and driving the polarisation that increasingly defines politics in Europe and beyond.

Boris Johnson sows confusion over Northern Irish trade after Brexit

09 November 2019
Bloomberg Quint
Sam Lowe, trade researcher at the Centre for European Reform, said the effect of the deal is to place the EU’s external border in the Irish Sea. “There will be checks,” he said.

Boris Johnson wants the hardest of EU trade deals

08 November 2019
The best Britain can hope for is the removal of tariffs and quotas on goods. But, as the Centre for European Reform’s Sam Lowe points out in a paper published this week, even that will depend on how far it submits to the EU’s level playing field demands.

There's no chance fibber Johnson will 'get Brexit done' by end of January

07 November 2019
The Times
Yet even if he agreed to a free trade agreement on these terms, it would still create a lot more trade friction than presently exists, warns Sam Lowe, a trade expert, in a new paper for the Centre for European Reform. Exporters will still be obliged to submit to rules-of-origin checks to prove that goods entering the EU market originated in Britain rather than, say, China. British suppliers will face further disruption because their goods will no longer count as EU content under the terms of the EU’s own free trade agreements.

'Get Brexit done' rings hollow for baffled British businesses

06 November 2019
In any event, many businesses would find adapting to a new a free-trade agreement just as troublesome as if the UK left without a deal, said Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform. “It would still create a lot more trade friction and cost than currently exists,” Lowe said, citing the need for companies to grapple with issues such as rules of origin paperwork, customs and security declarations, and other import and export formalities. “No matter how ambitious the deal is, there are known limits to how much it can do to liberalize trade.”

The UK will never get the US trade deal it wants

06 November 2019
CNN Business
"The US's priorities would be quite difficult for the UK to take on board because they focus on agricultural goods and medicines procurement," says Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow in trade at the Centre for European Reform. 

CER podcast: The cost of Brexit to June 2019

06 November 2019
The UK economy is 2.9 per cent smaller as a result of the vote to leave the EU. John Springford talks to Beth Oppenheim about his final analysis in this series.


06 November 2019
Financial Times
John Springford at the Centre for European Reform has done a handy green audit of the EU’s budget spending. For all the talk of emissions cuts, Brussels spends plenty on “dirty” sectors led by subsidies to high polluting farmers: “Between 2014 and 2020, the largest EU budget line is agricultural subsidies (37 per cent of the total budget). The farm sector is a major source of emissions, because of the methane emitted by livestock, and the impact of different farming practices on the ability of the land to sequester carbon dioxide.”

Warum das Brexit-Theater weiter geht (sorry)

04 November 2019
Die Neuwahl in Großbritannien wird Klarheit im Brexit-Drama bringen. Wirklich? Ein Wahlsieg für Boris Johnson ist keineswegs ausgemacht - und selbst wenn, das Ringen um den EU-Austritt wird weitergehen. Ein Selbstgespräch von Christian Odendahl.

Boris Johnson warns against 'bog roll Brexit'

03 November 2019
Valliant News
Research by the Centre for European Reform has shown Brexit has already made the UK economy 2.1% weaker than it would have been if voters had decided to stay in the EU. CER deputy director John Springford said: “Two years on from the referendum, we now know that the Brexit vote has seriously damaged the economy.
“And we know that the government‘s ‘Brexit dividend‘ is a myth, the vote is costing the Treasury £440m a week, far more than the UK ever contributed to the EU budget.”

Macron steps into a leadership vacuum in Europe, and on some toes

01 November 2019
The New York Times
“The French think that they can act unilaterally without talking to everyone and get away with it, because they have a dynamic young leader with power and no one else does,” said Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, a research institute. 

The UK in a Changing Europe: Brexit: What next?

31 October 2019
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform joined Professor Helen Thompson, Stephen Bush and Professor Anand Menon to discuss 'Brexit: What next?'.

What if Trump calls Putin? Balts and Poles worry after Syria

31 October 2019
The Baltic countries should expand their national guards as another precaution, said Ian Bond, former UK Ambassador to Latvia and director of foreign policy at the Centre for European Reform, a London-based think tank. “And I would definitely be building up relations with other significant European countries that might be able to come to my assistance in a crisis, whether that’s France, Germany Poland or Sweden, or someone else,” he said.