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Charles Grant, director of the CER, has studied the UK-German relationship and says the British side feels that the Germans "aren’t being as helpful as they might be" on the question of welfare for migrant workers.
Meanwhile, he says Ms Merkel's team views as "special pleading" British demands for protection for non-eurozone countries and their place in the EU single market. "They see it as crude protectionism for the City," he said.
 

 Analyste au think-tank pro-européen CER, John Springford serait lui aussi "très surpris que Cameron obtienne des changements substantiels". Dès lors, estime-t-il "il lui sera difficile de ramener sur une ligne modérée une majorité du Parti conservateur désormais massivement eurosceptique".

Germany expects up to 1 million asylum seekers this year alone. The upfront costs of housing, education and social care are considerable — but it could stimulate the economy, argues Christian Odendahl of the Centre for European Reform.

As Simon Tilford of the CER, recently argued, there is no way the eurozone will be able to shrug off the global downturn because its post-crisis recovery strategy rests on net exports. The eurozone is headed for a current account surplus of 3.5 per cent of gross domestic product this year.

"Lov og Retfærdighedspartiet er ikke alene imod tanken om kvoter, partiet betragter faktisk hele kommissionens forslag som et angreb på polsk suverænitet", siger Agata Gostynska, der er ekspert i polsk europapolitik hos tænketanken CER i London.

"Sprawna prezydencja przewodząca Radzie szuka kompromisu i po głosowanie sięga dopiero wtedy, gdy nie da się go osiągnąć. I wydaje się, że prezydencja luksemburska starała się o kompromis do ostatniej chwili" - mówi Agata Gostyńska, analityk londyńskiego CER.