Press

Bruxelles håber på tysk status quo – og mere fart på eurosamarbejdet

Christian Odendahl
22 September 2017
Berlingske
»Det er ret klart, at den tyske position på tværs af partier er pro Europa og pro euro. Dermed er det tyske valg meget anderledes end det franske valg, det italienske valg og Brexit-afstemningen i og med, at det ikke bringer ustabilitet til Europa,« siger Christian Odendahl, cheføkonom hos tænketanken Centre for European Reform.

CER podcast: Briefing on the German election

Sophia Besch, Christian Odendahl
21 September 2017
Christian Odendahl and Sophia Besch discuss who is likely to win on Sunday, what the German election will mean for Europe, and what it will mean for Brexit negotiations.

Channel 4 News: The Brexit bill

21 September 2017
John Springford director of research at the Centre for European Reform speaks to Channel 4 News about the Brexit bill in advance of Theresa May's speech in Florence  (from 21:10 mins).

BBC Newsnight: EU citizens rights

21 September 2017
John Springford, director of research at the Centre for European Reform speaks to BBC Newsnight about EU citizens rights in light of Brexit (from 7:10 mins)

Brexit may frustrate co-operation on security in Europe

Camino Mortera-Martinez
21 September 2017
The Economist
Camino Mortera-Martinez of the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank, notes that Norway and Iceland took five years to negotiate a treaty on the European Arrest Warrant, and it has taken a further eight years to be fully ratified.

German election 2017: What does German election means for Brexit and the EU?

Sophia Besch
21 September 2017
The Express
The Centre for European Reform (CER) has said that all parties more or less agree on the Brexit stance so the elections mean “very little” for Brexit. CER research fellow Sophia Besch said: "Contrary to the statements of some senior Conservatives in Britain, the German elections will not affect the outcome of Brexit, whatever coalition partner Angela Merkel may choose. “All major German parties want to maintain close economic and political ties to Britain post-Brexit, and limit the economic fallout.  

Lessons from Tokyo on Britain's post-EU future

20 September 2017
Nikkei Asia Review
"These points were like a cold shower," said Ian Bond of the Centre for European Reform. "Japan set out all the things that should have been discussed before the referendum."
CNBC: What could the next German government look like?

CNBC: What could the next German government look like?

Christian Odendahl
20 September 2017
Christian Odendahl, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, discusses the formation of the next German coalition with CNBC live from Berlin.

Brexit's top billing: The money trick

20 September 2017
Financial Times
John Springford at the Centre for European Reform, calculates the EU-27 would have to cough up an extra 0.1 per cent of their GDP each year to fill the post-UK budget black hole in the event of a “no deal”.

British Prime Minister Theresa May hopes to end cabinet disquiet with Brexit speech

20 September 2017
Agence France Presse
"The onus is on the British to come up with a serious offer to move the talks forward," Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform (CER), told AFP. "Theresa May needs to make a serious offer on the money that she hasn't made so far. And on the transition, she needs to say what she wants."

How the hard-right AfD party has become a potent voice heading into Germany's election

Christian Odendahl
20 September 2017
The Globe and Mail
Christian Odendahl, chief economist of the Centre for European Reform, thinks the party will be mostly ignored and could vanish, as Germany's little social liberal Pirate Party did. "The CDU and SPD are embedded in the centre and will not tolerate a party to their right," he says. "They will work to neutralize the AfD."

Brexit bulletin: Living on Boris time

20 September 2017
Bloomberg
John Springford of the Centre for European Reform said money is the UK’s strongest hand although it’s still a weak one.

Germans' misplaced faith in economic strength

Christian Odendahl
19 September 2017
Politico
“Given how central Germany is to many of the challenges facing Europe, from economics to security, another bland grand coalition would be bad news,” warned Christian Odendahl, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform.

Brexit negotiations three months on: No progress, no resolution, no deal

John Springford, Simon Tilford
19 September 2017
Sputnik News
While fighting words indeed, few if any in Brussels were likely intimidated by the ultimatum — as noted by academics and think tanks, such as the Centre for European Reform — no deal would in fact be far worse than a bad deal.

Preparing for a softer Brexit

18 September 2017
CIRSD Horizons
The UK's general election has increased the chances of a softer Brexit. But what would that look like? And could it involve a customs union with the European Union?

Germany's Free Democrats may stall EU reform hopes

Christian Odendahl
18 September 2017
EurActiv
If the FDP joined a CDU government, eurozone reform would be “dead in the water”, economist Christian Odendahl of the Centre for European Reform said, labelling it “the most dangerous coalition for the euro”.

Colour-coding Germany's election

Christian Odendahl
18 September 2017
Reuters
Another option, first proposed by Christian Odendahl, Berlin-based chief economist of the Centre for European Reform, is a Merkel minority government, relying on support from other parties. The advantage of this arrangement is that the SPD could regroup. Time is on the party’s side: Merkel is 63 and unlikely to run for a further, fifth term, which would take her past her 70th birthday. It will be easier to campaign against her relatively inexperienced successor.

Don't call the German election boring - it could be huge leap or setback for the eurozone

Sophia Besch
18 September 2017
Market Watch
"The FDP sees itself as the economic and regulatory conscience of Germany and would push the CDU/CSU to double down on its calls for fiscal discipline," said Sophia Besch, research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, in a report. "Should the September election lead to a coalition between the CDU/CSU and the FDP, prospects for eurozone reform would be poor.”

No Brexit favours under new Merkel government, Britain warned

Christian Odendahl
18 September 2017
The Telegraph
“On the margins, the FDP as a junior coalition partner could push Merkel in a slightly more pragmatic direction, but really it is only on the margins,” concluded Christian Odendahl, the Berlin-based chief economist of the Centre for European Reform think-tank.

Whitehall must publish its Brexit impact assessments

15 September 2017
Financial Times
Charles Grant, of the Centre for European Reform, first revealed the existence of this paper back in June. It is said to show that the value of new FTAs would be significantly less than the economic cost of leaving the customs union.