Press
¿Por qué los euros no sirven para comprar petróleo? Bruselas presiona para que eso cambie
05 December 2018
El Pais
“Durante mucho tiempo, el dominio del dólar no parecía tener importancia (...). Pero la administración Trump ha convertido la política económica en un arma y eso hace que la presencia del euro en los mercados mundiales pase a ser una cuestión de política exterior”, señalan Adam Tooze y Christian Odendahl en un análisis publicado ayer por el instituto de estudios Centre for European Reform (CER).
Euro rzuca wyzwanie dolarowi. Ma być symbolem potęgi Unii
05 December 2018
Rzeczpospolita
Jednak, zdaniem ekspertów, zadanie może być bardzo trudne, bo dzisiejsza rola dolara jako waluty światowej to efekt historii, polityki, struktury amerykańskiej gospodarki i sposobu działania amerykańskiej Rezerwy Federalnej. Londyński think tank Centre for European Reform opublikował analizę, której autorami są Adam Tooze z Uniwersytetu Columbia i Christian Odendahl z CER. Zwracają oni uwagę na trzy cechy waluty globalnej. Po pierwsze, musi być ona używana w międzynarodowych transakcjach. O ile dolar jest walutą w kontraktach, o tyle dla 80 proc., których USA nie jest stroną, to już euro, choć też często używane, występuje praktycznie tylko w transakcjach, których przynajmniej jedną stroną jest państwo strefy euro.
Chart du jour: German reservations
05 December 2018
Financial Times
The commission launches its plan to internationalise the euro on Wedenesday. Adam Tooze and Christian Odendahl of the Centre for European Reform look at what is really needed to make that happen (hint: one of the main obstacles is Germany’s reluctance to reform economic policy).
CER Bulletin podcast: China and the EU; fighting disinformation
05 December 2018
In this CER Bulletin podcast, CER researchers brief podcast listeners on two of the most important topics for Europe this month.
UK politics struggles with the idea of being 'trapped' in the backstop
03 December 2018
The Irish Times
In an analysis on this issue, Sam Lowe of the Centre for European Reform in London, said that membership of a customs union with the EU would not stop the UK pursuing an independent trade policy, particularly in areas like services vital to its economy. However the UK could not strike all-compassing trade deals involving tariff cuts on goods entering its market, as these would be aligned with the EU.
What's best for women is best for Britain
01 December 2018
The New European
Since we voted to leave the EU, this country has been haemorrhaging money – £500 million a week, according to the Centre for European Reform.
An EEA/EFTA Brexit model would actually solve Theresa May's problems – here's how
29 November 2018
The Independent
Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, says that current members are likely not to want a transient UK joining their club, destabilising it and leaving in a few years. Instead of joining as a full member, the UK could ask to be an associate and, as the voting structure in the group provides each state with a veto, the UK could opt out of this to ensure this balance is not disrupted.
Why the Norway Plus plan is not as simple as Brexiteers believe
29 November 2018
The Telegraph
Trade experts like Sam Lowe at the Centre for European Reform think-tank say this is possible, in theory, but it would not happen overnight or automatically, since the UK would immediately be seeking derogations and special status within the EFTA bloc, which comprises Iceland, Lichtenstein, Norway and Switzerland.
How to make yourself poorer
28 November 2018
The Economist
Yet although predictions of job losses after the vote were off the mark, John Springford of the Centre for European Reform, another think-tank, says those for the economy were not. GDP per person is some 2% below where it would have been without the Brexit vote.
Moscovici: "Se vincono i nazionalisti tornerà la guerra in Europa"
28 November 2018
Il Giornale
Non fa nomi, il Commissario Ue. Ma non è difficile immaginare a chi siano indirizzate le dichiarazioni contenute nel suo discorso al Centre for European Reform. E dopo aver immaginato dei tanti "piccoli Mussolini" che si aggirano per il Vecchio Continente, ora arriva addiruttira a parlare del rischio di un nuovo conflitto intra-europeo.
Cakewatch: How Brexit might affect UK and EU foreign policy
28 November 2018
The Centre for European Reform is the UK's foremost think-tank on matters European, and Ian Bond is its Director of Foreign Policy, so Chris is in his element this week discussing how Brexit might affect both UK and EU foreign policy. Featuring not one, not two, but three baskets.
The hunt for Brexit Plan B
27 November 2018
The Financial Times
Third, can a majority be found in parliament to back it? Perhaps, says John Springford of the Centre for European Reform. But he says the problem for many Conservatives is that it means Britain will in effect become a rule-taker while the plan doesn’t end freedom of movement to the degree proposed by Mrs May.“Remainers might say OK to this,” says Mr Springford. “But ultimately, the question for Conservative MPs is whether they would be willing to accept this degree of vassalage after all the criticism they have made about May’s plan.”
Poland's fight with Brussels backfires
27 November 2018
The Financial Times
“I think the commission has realised that Article 7 isn’t very useful as an instrument of pressure, and that the Court of Justice is probably more activist than many of us thought,” says Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska, from the Centre for European Reform in Brussels. “But the jury is still out on whether the commission will now be keener to use the ECJ to address democratic backsliding in other member states.”
'Beware of the Brexit lyin' and the unicorn'
26 November 2018
The Mirror
The Centre for European Reform says lost growth already costs Britain £500million a week.
What happens if Parliament rejects May's Brexit deal?
26 November 2018
Financial Times
“The government is counting on some Labour MPs to save its bacon. There are half a dozen Eurosceptic ones who may well vote in favour of May’s plan. There is also another small group of Labour MPs who are less Eurosceptic but worry about annoying their anti-EU constituents by being seen to try to thwart Brexit. The government hopes that other, pro-EU Labour MPs will be ‘responsible’ and vote to avoid the potential chaos of no deal. But the government seems unlikely to win the backing of more than 10-15 Labour MPs. Even if a number of others abstained, May appears to be heading for defeat on the meaningful vote.” (Charles Grant, Centre for European Reform)
BBC News: Brexit deal push
26 November 2018
John Springford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform spoke to BBC News (from 12.21) about the likelihood of Theresa May getting the Brexit deal through parliament.
Does Brexit mean Brexit? EU judges could play pivotal role
26 November 2018
Bloomberg
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said that the case “doesn’t really matter very much in the real world.” The EU wouldn’t stand in the way of backing the UK if it ended up deciding to stop Brexit and withdraw its Article 50 notification, he said.
A slowdown in Germany's economy
24 November 2018
The Economist
Germany’s recent boom has been in part the product of good luck, says Christian Odendahl at the Centre for European Reform: strong global demand for its exports, a weak euro and low interest rates.
SWR2: Immer wieder Mayday, Interview mit Christian Odendahl
23 November 2018
Am 25.11. will die EU das Scheidungsabkommen mit dem Vereinigten Königreich beschließen. In einer weiteren Absichtserklärung soll der künftige Weg in den Beziehungen beschrieben werden. In letzter Minute stellt Spanien dem Ganzen aber noch ein Bein, indem es Gibraltar ins Spiel bringt. Aber auch das britische Parlament kann das Verhandlungsergebnis noch zu Fall bringen. Wie die Briten inzwischen zum Brexit stehen, erklärt im Interview Christian Odendahl von der Londoner Denkfabrik Centre for European Reform.
Brexit political accord stokes renewed criticism
23 November 2018
The Australian Financial Review
"The political declaration is extremely vague and woolly," said Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska, senior fellow at the Centre for European Reform in Brussels.