Research
Letters: Fait accompli
16 July 2021
Prospect
Julian King’s assessment of Michel Barnier’s role in the Brexit talks (“The Brexit illusions,” July) is fair minded.But perhaps he underplays Barnier’s nationality. The Frenchman was a key link in the Brussels-Paris axis that drove the EU to be hard on the British.
Australian trade deal fears justified, says ex-negotiator
16 July 2021
BBC News
Sam Lowe, from the Centre for European Reform think tank, told the committee that while there was likely to be some impact on Welsh farmers, this was likely to be marginal."Because [the amount of Australian produce being imported] is so low right now, even a six hundred per cent increase isn't that much in quantity terms," he said.
Welsh Affairs Committee: One-off session on the implications for Wales of the UK/AUS FTA
15 July 2021
Sam Lowe gave evidence this morning at the Welsh Affairs Committee about the UK-Australia trade deal and what it will mean for Wales (from 10:17).
Europe’s carbon prices are going global
14 July 2021
The Wall Street Journal
Brussels worries that continuing to grant free ETS allowances might breach World Trade Organization rules, but industry representatives believe CBAM and free allowances - without which their exports risk becoming uncompetitive - can coexist. Russia, Turkey, China and the UK are expected to be hardest hit, according to the Centre for Europe Reform, a British think-tank.
La Comisión Europea fija para 2035 el fin de la venta de coches de combustión
14 July 2021
El Pais
Y en las condiciones actuales del mercado golpearía sobre todo a Rusia, Turquía, China, el Reino Unido y Ucrania, según un informe del gabinete de estudios Centre for European Reform. Bruselas confía, sin embargo, en que los principales socios comerciales de la UE adapten sus modelos de producción y que el nuevo mecanismo de fronteras, cuya compatibilidad con las normas de la OMC ponen en duda algunos analistas, no tenga que aplicarse o solo en casos excepcionales.
Comment le commerce extérieur britannique a encaissé le choc du Brexit
14 July 2021
Les Echos
Pour l’heure, il est encore difficile d’isoler les effets de la pandémie et de la sortie du marché unique. Pour y parvenir, le Centre for European Reform, un think tank à tendance pro-européenne, a bâti un indicateur permettant de comparer les importations et les exportations britanniques avec celles d’un panier de pays comparables, sélectionnés par un algorithme parmi 22 économies développées (Etats-Unis, Canada, Nouvelle-Zélande, Allemagne Suisse et Portugal).
Why the European Union is a less-than-jolly green giant
14 July 2021
The Economist
Slashing emissions is a rotten problem for the officials, politicians and diplomats who must solve it. The costs come now and the benefits are reaped only in a generation, points out Elisabetta Cornago of the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank.
Europe unveils plan to shift from fossil fuels, setting up potential trade spats
14 July 2021
The New York Times
The cross-border carbon tax proposal could have the greatest impact on goods from Russia and Turkey, mainly iron, steel and aluminum, according to data analyzed by the Centre for European Reform. The impact on U.S. exports to Europe would be far smaller, according to the analysis.
Europe’s manufacturers fear landmark carbon import tax may do more harm than good
13 July 2021
Fortune
"My advice is to mount a huge diplomatic push to assuage the concerns of third countries", says Sam Lowe, trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, who expects the EU may end up at least altering its carbon border tax following a likely challenge.
He worries a CBAM could trigger a new bout of trade disputes at a time when the international rules-based trading system has come under heavy fire.
He worries a CBAM could trigger a new bout of trade disputes at a time when the international rules-based trading system has come under heavy fire.
CER podcast: How well will the UK's European diplomatic strategy work?
09 July 2021
Ian Bond speaks to Luigi Scazzieri and Georgina Wright about EU-UK diplomatic co-operation and the ways both parties can work together in foreign and security policy.
Europe's carbon push stokes backlash fears
09 July 2021
Reuters
"A carbon price is the most efficient way to encourage businesses and households to cut emissions," said Elisabetta Cornago, research fellow at the Centre for European Reform in Brussels, adding that such policies should aim to redistribute any revenues generated to low-income households.
Climate policy will be a casualty of this decade of bungling
08 July 2021
The Spectator
Elisabetta Cornago and Sam Lowe at the Centre for European Reform have taken a deep dive into the CBAM proposals - and see lots of problems.
Why new post-Brexit ‘UKCA’ standard is proving such a headache for industry
08 July 2021
Financial Times
At the moment, as Sam Lowe, the trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, explains, this is essentially a duplicative process because UK standards follow EU standards in the “vast majority of cases”.
Why Europe’s payments champion should innovate, not imitate
07 July 2021
Encompass
Several European banks announced last year they would create a European version of Visa and Mastercard, called the European Payment Initiative.
Can the UK's new European diplomatic strategy work?
06 July 2021
Encompass
Since it left the EU, the UK has been vigorously trying to emphasise the purported benefits of Brexit. In foreign policy, this has meant trying to present itself as more agile and effective than the EU.
Europe faces sceptical globe with carbon border levy
05 July 2021
Reuters
The WTO grants preferential treatment to developing countries, as does the EU with arrangements for the poorest states. If they do not extend to the CBAM, charges could hit $16 billion of developing country exports to the EU, the Centre for European Reform think-tank says.
UK move to protect steel industry at risk of WTO challenge
04 July 2021
Financial Times
Sam Lowe, trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, said the TRA’s ruling against extending the safeguards “could certainly be part of a country’s challenge at the WTO”. However, he pointed out that such challenges “took ages”, while Truss’s decision only extends the tariffs on the five additional categories by a further year.
Bloomberg: Merkel-Johnson summit
02 July 2021
Charles Grant, director of the CER told Bloomberg TV that the UK and Germany's intertwined economies mean some co-operation has to take place
The best way to reset UK-Germany relations would be a change of government in London
02 July 2021
The New Statesman
As a new paper by Luigi Scazzieri of the Centre for European Reform notes, Germany and the UK signed a “Joint Vision Statement” on security in 2018; they are both part of the “Northern Group” of states around the North and Baltic seas; along with France they comprise the “E3” states crucial to the Iran nuclear deal; German leaders among others have in the past contemplated the idea of a European Security Council that binds in the UK.
EU confident holdout states will join global tax deal
02 July 2021
Law 360
The EU countries not signing the deal "pose a serious risk to implementing the [global] deal in the European Union," said Zach Meyers, a research fellow at the Center for European Reform. "This is because an EU-level directive will be needed to implement the deal and that directive would require unanimity, so it cannot be imposed on unwilling EU member states," he told Law360.