Research

“Existen dos maneras de hacer que tu país sea más poderoso. Una es invertir internamente para hacerlo más poderoso y la otra es invertir para debilitar a tus enemigos. Y muy a menudo lo segundo es más barato y más eficaz que lo primero”, le dice a BBC Mundo Ian Bond, subdirector del Centre for European Reform, con sede en Londres.

Sander Tordoir, Chefökonom des Centre for European Reform (CER), hielt diese Sorge jedoch für weniger ernst.Er merkte an, dass die Größe der Wirtschaft der Eurozone in Verbindung mit dem geringen Umfang der für Donnerstag erwarteten Zinssenkung um 0,25 Prozentpunkte bedeute, dass es unwahrscheinlich sei, dass die Eurozone viel Inflation aus den USA importieren werde.

“These different stances, combined with bilateral spats between ECR and ID members, make formal co-operation between the two groupings very unlikely and will reduce their influence,” Luigi Scazzieri, senior research fellow at independent think-tank the Centre for European Reform, said in an April note.

“Un aumento de la derecha influiría en el futuro de los esfuerzos climáticos de la UE, iniciados con el paquete de medidas Fit for 55”, coincide Luigi Scazzieri, analista del Centre for European Reform, que ve menos problemas en materia migratoria debido a la deriva impulsada desde los gobiernos desde la crisis de 2015.

«Cette stratégie de réduction du risque est dépassée par le choc de surproduction chinois, estime Sander Tordoir, économiste au Centre for European Reform. Il faut aller beaucoup plus loin, si l’on veut maintenir une base manufacturière viable. Pour le solaire, c’est trop tard, mais dans les véhicules électriques, l’Europe est un gros exportateur. »

“The poll projections for MEP seats after the upcoming European elections are that those parties to the right of the European People Party (EPP), who are generally climate sceptic, will gain a number of seats,” said Luigi Scazzieri, senior research fellow at the Centre For European Reform think-tank.

Ian Bond, of the Centre for European Reform, told me in an interview, “The paradox of Georgia is that it has the most pro-EU population in the former Soviet space, and has come further than any other Eastern European country in tackling corruption, but it now has one of the most anti-EU governments, controlled from behind the scenes by an oligarch who made his money in Russia in the 1990s. The EU has to find a way to help those who want Georgia to become a modern European democracy, not an authoritarian satellite of Russia.”

"Tradicionalmente, a cooperação é difícil para a extrema-direita, precisamente porque estes partidos priorizam interesses de âmbito nacional. Há certos tópicos com os quais [quase todos] concordam, como cortar no investimento e com o poder que as instituições da UE têm", disse à Lusa Zselyke Csaky, investigador do Centre for European Reform. No entanto, "há muito que os divide", sustentou Csaky, "desde a política externa a alguns aspetos das migrações".