Research
Can we withdraw Article 50 once we trigger it? Probably (but it's complicated)
12 December 2016
Politics.co.uk
Camino Mortera-Martinez, a research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, emphasises that the debate is not purely legal, it is "a combination of politics and the law". So while the article in itself is probably revocable, "the Supreme Court interpretation is likely to be that Article 50 is non-revocable, and therefore any case for revocability is going to be a lot harder to make".
The way forward for the west? Help China and wave the rulebook at Russia
08 December 2016
The Guardian
Russia and China are often bracketed together as the west’s most important adversaries. They have grown closer since Russia’s relations with the west soured after the annexation of Crimea.
Britain is heading for the hardest of hard Brexits, but Theresa May can limit the damage
08 December 2016
The Guardian
Theresa May's government is heading for the hardest of hard Brexits. That's what many European officials now believe.
Who is Pier Carlo Padoan? Could the technocrat replace Renzi after his referendum defeat?
07 December 2016
The Express
Luigi Scazzieri, a fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said that the President Sergio Mattarella will explore options for a new Government “based on the current composition of the Parliament”.
CER podcast series: The economics of populism, episode four
07 December 2016
In this episode, Marcel Fratzscher and Ryan Avent discuss ‘Is inequality behind the rise in populism?’
TOK FM: W Sądzie Najwyższym rozpoczęła się rozprawa ws. Brexitu
06 December 2016
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska talks to TOK FM about the ongoing Brexit case in the Supreme Court.
It's productivity, stupid…
06 December 2016
The Irish News
In September, Simon Tilford of the Centre for European Reform presented a sobering analysis of the UK's economic performance - “Brexit Britain: The poor man of Western Europe?” Contrary to popular belief, the UK has not been one of Europe's economic stars over the last 15 years. Adjusting for living costs, exchange rates and demographic trends, the UK in 2015 is now poorer relative to the EU-15 (eurozone) than it was in 2000.
Italy's political upheaval stokes banking crisis
06 December 2016
Voice of America
Luigi Scazzieri of the Centre for European Reform says there is hope that investors will not be put off. “In the immediate term they might find it slightly more difficult to raise capital, which they need to cover their bad loans,” Scazzieri said. “However, nothing has really changed in the banking situation since the situation previous to the referendum.”
The future of the EU is at stake as Europe's leaders face a new fear: Voters
06 December 2016
The Washington Post
If elected, Le Pen has vowed to hold a referendum on French membership in the E.U. And if France pulls out, many pro-European advocates believe the entire project would fall apart. “If Marine Le Pen wins, that will comprise an existential shock to the E.U. and for stability in Europe,” said Simon Tilford, the deputy director of the London-based Centre for European Reform.
EurActiv event: #Brexit50 ranking unveiled in Westminster
06 December 2016
The EurActiv event revealed the 50 most influential people shaping Brexit – the EurActiv #Brexit50 list. CER director Charles Grant was ranked number 45 on the #Brexit 50 list.
5 News: Interview with Luigi Scazzieri on the Italian referendum (1:12)
06 December 2016
The Prime Minister's plans to reform the country's constitution was heavily defeated in a referendum. It could cause yet more turmoil for the EU - but the result has left many Italians overjoyed.
De kans dat de brexit niet doorgaat is nul
05 December 2016
Fd.nl
Wie het Britse brexitgetreuzel volgt, kan zomaar het gevoel bekruipen dat de eilandbewoners misschien wel nooit uit de Europese Unie zullen vertrekken.
Are we heading for a hard Brexit?
05 December 2016
Moneyweek
While it’s nice to know what the options are, the main thing is trying to find out what will actually happen.
Italian referendum: What the defeat of Renzi means for the EU and eurozone
05 December 2016
The Daily Express
Simon Tilford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform (CER), said that an Italian referendum on the eurozone would lead to considerable instability in Europe. Mr Tilford said: “The act of calling that referendum would precipitate a crisis in Europe. It would embolden populist and anti-Europe parties elsewhere.”
The impact of Italy's "No" vote is likely to be contained
05 December 2016
Prospect
The "No" vote in yesterday's referendum was expected by most observers. But its consequences are likely to be less dramatic than many feared.
Italy's referendum result is not another Brexit or Trump
05 December 2016
The Guardian
First Britain voted for Brexit. Then America voted for Trump. And now Italians have overwhelmingly voted to reject constitutional reform.
Europe's populists target landmark victories in Italy, Austria
03 December 2016
Bloomberg
“We’re seeing populist parties challenge the establishment in one country after another,” Simon Tilford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London, said in an interview. “Anything that causes doubt about political stability in Italy will unsettle investors.”
Year of electoral tests may end European Union as we know it
02 December 2016
The Guardian
Simon Tilford, of the Centre for European Reform think-tank, said the two big flashpoints for the union would be Italy’s constitutional referendum and France’s presidential election. “In Italy, if Renzi loses the referendum, can’t survive, and elections then return a government committed to a referendum on taking [the country] out of the euro … that could produce a real standoff,” Tilford said.
BBC Newsnight: Charles Grant on Boris Johnson's free movement comments
02 December 2016
Charles Grant talks frankly to BBC Newsnight about Boris Johnson's recent free movement comments to EU foreign ministers. (From 23 mins)
Now two of the government's most senior figures have hinted the UK will continue EU contributions after Brexit
01 December 2016
City A.M
Centre for European Reform director Charles Grant said it could also help buy the UK some goodwill in its negotiations, and help it secure a preferential deal, in line with mentions of “Canada Plus”, seen in the notes of an MP's aide leaving Downing Street this week.