Research & Press

Parliament Live: Exiting the European Union Committee

19 December 2018
Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, along with Dr Kirsty Hughes, Catherine Barnard and Henry Newman, gave evidence on the progress of the UK’s negotiations on EU withdrawal.

How can Father Christmas deliver presents in a no deal Brexit scenario? Baby, it's cold outside (the EU)

19 December 2018
In the run up to 25th December, there is one issue that has not received half the attention it deserves: what happens to Father Christmas in December 2019 in the event of a no deal Brexit?

Brexit's impact on services

18 December 2018
Trade in services has not received enough attention in the Brexit debate. But if Theresa May follows through on plans for the UK to leave the single market, UK services exports to the EU-27 will likely fall, in the case of financial services by more than half, and related jobs and tax revenues will suffer.

Italy's attitude highlights Europe's reform deficit

17 December 2018
Global Capital
"It is hard to see a political solution in the short term: not much meat can be stripped from the budget without impeding the government's promises", says Luigi Scazzieri, a research fellow at the Centre for European Reform in London. "My assessment is that this fight will increase," he says.

Winning a second Brexit referendum is possible – with Europe’s help

14 December 2018
The Guardian
Not necessarily, says Charles Grant, the well-plugged-in head of the Centre for European Reform. Sweden, Ireland, Denmark, the Netherlands and perhaps Germany may want to help, Grant says, perhaps adding “some tinsel and coloured lights” to various EU loopholes on migration, so that remain can boast of having reformed free movement. But the more “hardcore federalists” in the commission, and in France, “have mixed feelings about our departure. For decades, we’ve been the pebble in their shoe. We’ve been such a bloody pain” that some will be relieved when we’ve gone.

Fact check: Does the EU want a European super-army?

14 December 2018
The Week
The Centre for European Reform  said in 2016 that “Britain’s eurosceptics have spent years frightening people with the idea of an EU army”, and that “conspiracy-minded Brexiters insist that, were the UK to stay in the European Union, British troops might soon be faced with conscription into a Brussels-controlled army”.

Brussels sprouts: Ian Bond on Brexit and what's next for Europe

14 December 2018
Former Ambassador Ian Bond sits down with Dr Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Jim Townsend to discuss his perspective on Brexit and what the future holds for the transatlantic relationship.

The Guardian - Politics Weekly podcast: #Brexitshambles

13 December 2018
It was one step forward and two steps back in the Brexit hokey cokey this week. Tuesday’s long-awaited parliamentary vote was cancelled at the 11th hour, as Theresa May realised that a catastrophic defeat could be curtains for her premiership.
MPs raged, and within 24 hours Sir Graham Brady, chair of...

BBC Radio 4 - The Briefing Room: Brexit - where next?

13 December 2018
Theresa May has been back in Brussels to attend a meeting of EU leaders, a day after surviving a leadership challenge at home. Her mission: to try to extract some form of concession from the other 27 EU member-states that might persuade MPs in Westminster to support the withdrawal agreement the UK has concluded with the EU.

Trump's card

12 December 2018
Financial Times
The EU is scrambling to respond to US sanctions on Iran for fear of retaliation. Luigi Scazzieri at the Centre for European Reform says it is time for the bloc to buck up its ideas.

UE: Chaos w Wielkiej Brytanii wymusza plan awaryjny

12 December 2018
I nie ma pewności, że jakiekolwiek ustępstwa zagwarantują porozumienie - mówi “Rzeczpospolitej” Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, ekspertka londyńskiego Centre for European Reform. Według niej logicznym wnioskiem jest zatem przygotowywanie planu awaryjnego na wypadek braku porozumienia.

British PM Theresa May survives vote of confidence

12 December 2018
"Some EU capitals are not perfectly happy with some aspects of this deal, including the final shape of the backstop," said Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform.

Theresa May survives leadership challenge, but Brexit plan is still in peril

12 December 2018
The New York Times
John Springford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform, a London-based research institute, said that the size of the vote against her “is an even clearer signal that she won’t be able to get her deal through Parliament, and makes it even more likely that when she puts the deal to the vote she will lose that.”

CER podcast: CER researchers review the year 2018

12 December 2018
Charles Grant, John Springford and Ian Bond review the political themes and events that shaped 2018, and take a look at some of the predictions they made last year.  

European Parliament elections 2019: The litmus test for the Spitzenkandidaten process

12 December 2018
The forthcoming European Parliament elections in 2019 will probably determine the fate of the Spitzenkandidaten process to select the President of the European Commission.

Review: Plugging In the British: Completing the Circuit

12 December 2018
Foreign Affairs
Brexit has proved surprisingly difficult to implement, not just in economic affairs, where analysts always expected problems, but in many other areas, too.

May delays Brexit deal vote but EU warns no renegotiation

11 December 2018
Daily Monitor
Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform (CER) suggested May would only secure "very minor changes to her deal". "The substance of the Irish backstop will be unaltered. So I very much doubt that parliament will vote for the deal, when it has the chance to do so," he said.

Manic Monday: Britain plunges deeper into Brexit crisis

11 December 2018
Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said "It would be naive to think that the other 27 EU member states would be open" to substantial changes to the backstop and wider exit plan after months of fractious back-and-forth negotiations.

Brexit: Jeremy Corbyn opens debate criticising government for postponing key vote – Politics live

11 December 2018
The Guardian
On the subject of a referendum, Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, now sees that as more likely than any of the other possible resolutions to the Brexit crisis. "My take on Brexit probabilities. UK leaves with no deal, 15% chance. Parliament finally passes May's deal, slightly modified with EU 'assurances', 20%. Or it passes the deal with new political declaration sketching Norway, 20%. General election, 15%. Referendum, 30%."

The Brexit vote was delayed by Theresa May. What might happen next?

11 December 2018
NBC News
"She's almost certain to face the challenge," said Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, a London think tank. "The only consequence of postponing of her Brexit vote is to weaken May's authority several notches further than it already has been."