Press

IMF help for Greece is a risky prospect

Simon Tilford
04 March 2010
The New York Times
"It would be damaging for the eurozone going forward because it would sow seeds of doubt about whether this is really a currency union, or just a group of countries that share a currency," said Simon Tilford, the chief economist of the Centre for European Reform in London.

Striking a better tone for a long-running debate

Simon Tilford
04 March 2010
European Voice
One point is that weakening EU competition policy to support national champions is a non-starter given that the US, Japan and, increasingly, China itself are taking a cross-border view of antitrust enforcement. Then there is the economic downside. "Diluting either anti-trust policy or relaxing state-aid rules would undermine Europe's long-term economic prospects, not bolster them," says Simon Tilford, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, a London-based think-tank.

Saab looks to new horizons

Clara Marina O'Donnell
01 March 2010
Defense News
The global defence market could become tougher for Europe in the future, said Clara O'Donnell, an analyst at the Centre for European Reform, a London think tank. O'Donnell said she believes it will become more difficult for EU countries to compete for sales of high-end technology products, given the 7-to-1 ratio in research and development spending between the United States and the European Union. She said Europe and European companies should focus on innovative solutions that are not so high-tech.

The seven sins of Stockholm

01 March 2010
E!Sharp
Last December, EU countries unveiled a new strategy for how its justice and home affairs policy should develop by 2015. The plan – negotiated by the Swedish presidency – outlined what the member states intend to do to tackle serious crime, manage migration and extend law-abiding citizens' freedom to travel and work.

European Union moves towards a bailout of Greece

Simon Tilford
28 February 2010
International Herald Tribune
Simon Tilford, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, said that France and Germany recognised that some form of bailout was inevitable. But, he said, for a bailout to be sold to a skeptical German public, the Greeks first "have to be seen to be suffering."

Greek debt crisis affects Europe, world economy

Simon Tilford
26 February 2010
Voice of America
Simon Tilford, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform in London, says the Greek crisis reflects a larger economic problem in Europe. EU members like the Netherlands and Germany have spent too little and their economies are driven by exports. Meanwhile, southern economies like Greece and Portugal have spent too much and amassed debts as a result. "So in order to find a lasting solution, we need change on both sides.

The incredible shrinking Europe

26 February 2010
Time
"The EU offers an attractive social, economic and political model," Charles Grant, director of the London-based think-tank the Centre for European Reform, argued last year. "It is more stable, safe, green and culturally diverse than most parts of the world, which is why neighbors want to join and many migrants aim for Europe."

Germany should remember what it's got from the euro

26 February 2010
The Wall Street Journal
At a weekend conference discussing the lessons from the economic crisis, as much time was devoted to the prospect of Germany leaving the euro zone as there was to the "peripheral" countries of Greece, Portugal or Spain abandoning it. The conference of prominent economists, current and former officials and others was held at Ditchley Park, a stately home in the English countryside. To be sure, nobody was predicting any such exit is likely, certainly not in the short term.

Europe's bear problem: The trouble with the EU's attempts to woo Russia

Katinka Barysch
25 February 2010
The Economist
The "underlying assumption", writes Katinka Barysch in a new paper for the Centre for European Reform, a London-based think-tank, is that EU capital, technology and training might make Russia "more Western-oriented, open and easier to deal with."

Police clash with strikers as EU seeks more cuts in budget crisis

25 February 2010
The Times
"The majority of Greek people support the Government in its effort to introduce reforms because there is a feeling that enough is enough and politicians should get to grips with reform and end corruption," said Charles Grant, the director of the Centre for European Reform. "I fear that by the summer, people will stop feeling as they do now that reform is necessary."

Five NATO states to urge removal of US nuclear arms in Europe

George Robertson
23 February 2010
The Guardian
"Denied the protection of NATO's nuclear weapons in Europe, Turkey would have additional reasons to worry about Iran's nuclear programme – and perhaps to develop nuclear weapons of its own. Newer NATO members in central Europe, who see in the nuclear weapons a symbol of US commitment to defend them, would be left feeling vulnerable," George Robertson, a former defence secretary and NATO secretary general, argued in an article he co-authored this month for the Centre for European Reform.

Eyeing Israel, EU condemns identity theft in Dubai assassination

Clara Marina O'Donnell
22 February 2010
Christian Science Monitor
"I think that this is going to be an easy one for EU states to address when it comes to speaking with one voice," says Clara Marina O'Donnell, an analyst at the Centre for European Reform think-tank in London. "The big member states still tend to have more strength and if you have a consensus you won't see the European states trying to split it. But more to the point, nation states are all quite sensitive when it comes to the idea of their passports’ integrity."

Lisbon pact failing to lift the EU on global stage

22 February 2010
New York Times
Supporters of the treaty argue that it was never going to deliver instant results. "It is difficult," said Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, "to write off what has not been built," referring the new European diplomatic corps. "Turf wars are a characteristic of bureaucracies since 10,000 years BC," he said. "Bureaucracies fight other bureaucracies. Everyone knew this would happen."

Conspiracy and the euro

16 February 2010
BBC News
As Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform points out, "people take bets on currencies - if they overreach themselves they go bust". ...Charles Grant says, however, he is certain that in the end Germany would act to prevent Greece defaulting. After all, it has signed up to a statement to "defend the stability of the euro". He says it is "understandable" at this stage that Germany wouldn't want to be too "explicit" about its plans, but who exactly will do the bail-out remains unclear.

Greece pressed to take action on economic woes

Simon Tilford
15 February 2010
International Herald Tribune
Simon Tilford, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform in London, said that for the eurozone countries the Eurostat proposals constituted "a significant erosion of sovereignty. "But when they signed up to the eurozone, they effectively agreed to cede sovereignty over time", Mr Tilford said. "There was always going to have to be a greater measure of integration." Although the Greek situation was "the most egregious example," he added, "it is not as if there have been no other examples of governments massaging public finances."

Germany is part of Greece's woe, not just its remedy

Simon Tilford
15 February 2010
The Times
"It's very puzzling. They really seem to think that they’re in a great position," said Simon Tilford, chief economist for the Centre for European Reform, one of the most pointed commentators on the contradictions of the German position. "They're not, and it isn’t a model that others can all follow."

Greek statistician is caught in limelight

Simon Tilford
13 February 2010
International Herald Tribune
Mr Kontopirakis "alone is not guilty, but he should have spotted the discrepancy and spoken up at the time," said Simon Tilford, chief economist at the London-based Centre for European Reform. He continued: "No doubt, there was political interference at the statistics office, but his argument is indefensible. This is the most egregious example of budgetary data that we have ever seen in the EU, and his position is extremely weak."

How Greece exposed the slippery slopes of Europe

13 February 2010
The Telegraph
Charles Grant, of the Centre for European Reform think-tank, said: "I think there will be a bail-out of some sort soon, with very strict controls on Greece." The cradle of civilisation will become effectively a colony of Brussels, or the International Monetary Fund, with massive public-sector cuts imposed on a resentful, and resistant, population.

Contemplating the future of the European Union

Simon Tilford
12 February 2010
New York Times
"Now is the time when Europe needs to speak as one voice," said Simon Tilford, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform in London. "The crisis should lead to political unity, but it could just as easily lead to a divided Europe."

Fox aims to boost military ties with France

Clara Marina O'Donnell
12 February 2010
Financial Times
"Fox's speech will be viewed by European governments as positive.. , especially on engagement with France," said Clara O’Donnell of the Centre for European Reform. "But concerns about the EU's role as a bloc are still very much in his mind. The question... will be how much his concerns about the EU end up alienating France."