Research
What would a post-Brexit EU be like?
21 April 2016
Prospect
If the UK voted to leave the European Union, Britain would certainly change - for better or worse, depending on your point of view. But the rest of the EU would change too.
Highlights of Gordon Brown's speech at the 'Economists on Brexit conference'
21 April 2016
In a speech to the CER, Gordon Brown demanded a positive, principled, patriotic case "with all the passion we can bring to bear" to show the future benefits membership of the EU can bring to our children and grandchildren.
Preparations for a Brexit: Views from Denmark, Italy, the Netherlands, Slovenia and Spain
21 April 2016
LSE blog
If Britain votes to leave the EU it will have to negotiate its exit and a new post-withdrawal relationship with the EU, one that will have to be agreed by the remaining 27 EU member-states and the European Parliament.
Judy Asks: Will the eurozone crisis come back?
20 April 2016
Carnegie Europe
A selection of experts answer a new question from Judy Dempsey on the foreign and security policy challenges shaping Europe’s role in the world.
Voting on European integration: A long history of skepticism
19 April 2016
The New York Times
Simon Tilford, deputy director of the CER in London, noted that referendums in Europe had often fallen prey to oversimplification, base appeals to emotions and scaremongering on both sides. “Lots of people will not consider the issues carefully, but will instead allow their frustrations with immigration and globalization, or fears over loss of sovereignty, to influence how they vote,” he said.
Fact, fiction and Brexit: Truth-squadding the arguments
19 April 2016
Bloomberg
When Cameron gave a speech at Bloomberg LP’s London headquarters in 2013 he said the EU needed "fundamental, far-reaching change." What he got, according to Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform in London, was "a collection of modest reforms" and it "will be hard for Cameron to claim that this is transformational."
The EU will play hardball with post-Brexit Britain
19 April 2016
The Telegraph
Post Brexit Britain will look back ruefully at its past privileges – inside the single market, but outside the eurozone – and wonder what possessed it to give them up.
BHP boss warns Brexit will plunge UK into "lost decade"
18 April 2016
City A.M
Struggling miner BHP Billton's chief executive, Andrew MacKenzie, will warn Britain risks plunging into a "lost decade" if it votes to leave the EU. ..."On trade, the EU has negotiated broadly effective deals for Europe and the UK. Restoring these agreements after Brexit would take years, perhaps a decade, of negotiation," he's due to tell an audience at the Centre for European Reform today.
Who'd have thought it? Jeremy Corbyn could shape Britain's destiny in Europe
15 April 2016
The Guardian
Charles Grant, who heads the Centre for European Reform and is one of remain's best-informed advocates, says that, as things stand, Britain is "probably heading for Brexit", estimating leave's chances at between 55% and 60%.
PiS pokazał Unii "gest Kozakiewicza"? Odpowiedź Brukseli może być bolesna
15 April 2016
Wiadomosci
Jak tłumaczy w rozmowie z WP Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska z Centre for European Reform w Londynie, KE jest w trudnej sytuacji, bo z jednej strony nie chce interweniować, ale wobec braku kroków pojednawczych z Warszawy nie może się ze wszczętej procedury wycofać.
Debate over British EU exit heats up
15 April 2016
Voice of America
The "In" campaign - full title "Britain Stronger in Europe" - was seemingly given an early boost by a warning from the International Monetary Fund of "severe regional and global damage" if Britain voted to leave. The threat is real, argues Simon Tilford of the Centre for European Reform, a broadly pro-European analyst group.
Draghi's German baggage follows him to Washington after ECB spat
14 April 2016
Bloomberg
“The climate in Germany is anti-ECB,” said Christian Odendahl, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, a London-based think tank. “There is a danger that German criticism of the ECB undermines the confidence of investors and businesses abroad that the euro zone can solve its still substantial economic and institutional problems.”
Tok FM: Jakie mogą być konsekwencje afery Panama Papers dla brytyjskiego premiera?
12 April 2016
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska talks to Jakub Janiszewski of Tok FM about the potential consequences of the Panama Papers for British Prime Minister David Cameron.
German attacks on ECB intensify but government unlikely to curb independence
12 April 2016
Euro Insight
"There is not much deep resentment in the German government against the ECB or its policies" Christian Odendahl, chief economist at the think-tank Centre for European Reform, told Euro Insight. "The unfavourable comments about the ECB and Draghi are mostly political, in order not to leave the anti-ECB sentiment to the populists on the right."...
Free Lunch: Central banks cannot escape the searchlights
11 April 2016
Financial Times
But Schäuble and his colleagues would spend their time better explaining to their compatriots what Christian Odendahl recently wrote in the Zeit: in a market economy, there is no right to a given interest rate on an unlimited amount of savings.
Mere criticism of the ECB is no solution
10 April 2016
Frankfurter Allgemeine
What would happen if the ECB failed to respond to the excessively low inflation and the weak economy? What economic policy would be suitable under the current circumstances, if not monetary policy?
Brexit brief: The economic consequences
09 April 2016
The Economist
Later this month the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank, will publish a revised version of its 2014 study on Brexit, based on the work of economists from Groningen University in the Netherlands. It concludes that Britain’s trade with the EU has been 55% greater than it would have been without membership - and that there have been no detectable losses from trade diverted from third countries towards the EU
Have the wheels come off German miracle?
09 April 2016
The Times
“We do not know when the next downturn will come in the eurozone, but the current cyclical upturn won’t last for ever,” Simon Tilford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform, said. “We are already seeing voter frustration at the inability of governments to effect economic performance and living standards. The next downturn could be politically very destabilising.”
Dutch Ukraine referendum: EU ability to sign international treaties at stake
08 April 2016
Borderlex
Rem Korteweg Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for European Reform, a think tank in London, told BNE Intellinews that membership perspective for neighbouring countries, be it Ukraine or Balkan countries, already unlikely, could become even more distant. “It is very likely that any enlargement decision will be subjected to a referendum, in the Netherlands or elsewhere, and rejected. The Dutch government will be very hesitant to agree to any enlargement in the current circumstances”, Korteweg explains.
Bloomberg "The Pulse": Dutch snub EU in referendum
07 April 2016
Dutch voters rebelled against a treaty between the European Union and Ukraine in a referendum on Wednesday, albeit on low turnout that fell short of the stampede that anti-EU campaigners hoped for.