Research

The referendum campaign: The Battle of Evermore

18 June 2016
The Economist
A host of studies in Britain - by the Treasury, the Institute of Fiscal Studies, Oxford Economics, PricewaterhouseCoopers, the Centre for European Reform and the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics - agree with international bodies - the IMF and the OECD rich-country think-tank - that Brexit would mean less trade, lower foreign direct investment and slower productivity growth.

Regardless of 'Brexit' vote, experts say, EU must rethink status quo

Simon Tilford
18 June 2016
The New York Times
"It is not very easy being English at the moment," said Simon Tilford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London. "Grim stuff." Mr Tilford falls into an interesting camp: He has long been an outspoken critic of the European Union’s handling of its currency woes, yet he strongly supports Britain's remaining in the bloc. The benefits far outweigh the disadvantages, he argues, even as he realizes that policy failures by the European Union have helped legitimize the arguments of some who want to leave.

UK voters march towards Brexit to the beat of a populist drum

18 June 2016
The Irish Times
"Clearly, Leave are winning, and if nothing changes they will win," says Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform and an expert on Britain's tortured relationship with Europe. "We all know that psephologists say there's a last-minute shift to the status quo in the final days of a referendum campaign. I'm waiting for that shift to appear, but it hasn't appeared yet. If there’s been any shift in the last two weeks it’s been in the other direction."

CER podcast: Europe after Bremain - an agenda for the UK

John Springford, Camino Mortera-Martinez, Ian Bond, Sophia Besch
17 June 2016
Sophia Besch talks to John Springford, Camino Mortera-Martinez and Ian Bond on what role the UK could play in the EU following a vote to stay in on June 23rd.

Britain asks if tone of 'Brexit' campaign made violence inevitable

Simon Tilford
17 June 2016
The New York Times
Some observers, like Mr Tilford, say there is blame to be spread across the political spectrum. While the tenor of the Leave campaign "is pretty xenophobic," he said, both of the major mainstream parties, Labour and the Conservatives, now regularly discuss the potential menace of foreigners. "That has made it socially acceptable to voice anti-immigrant or xenophobic sentiment in a way that it wasn't 10 years ago," he said.

Don’t panic! Turkey won’t be joining the EU anytime soon

Rem Korteweg
16 June 2016
The Spectator
The Leave campaign sees the EU-Turkey accession talks as a reason to drum up fears about migration. In fact, it is a red herring.

Unnoticed by Brexiteers, the idea of an EU super-state is quietly dying

16 June 2016
The Telegraph
There are some things that British Eurosceptics and European federalists tend to agree on. They think the EU is moving inevitably towards a federal future.

TOK FM: Dlaczego o Brexicie rozmawiają tylko mężczyźni?

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
16 June 2016
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska talks to Agnieszka Lichnerowicz of TOK FM about the Brexit campaign.
Share Radio: EU Debate

Share Radio: EU Debate

16 June 2016
The Chancellor George Osborne says he'll slash public spending and increase taxes in an emergency Budget to tackle a £30bn "black hole" if the UK votes to leave the European Union. That could include raising income and inheritance taxes and slashing the NHS budget.

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska on 'The Economist Asks: EU referendum special'

16 June 2016
With Mario Monti, Zanny Minton Beddoes and Lane Greene (16:20).

Ten things Cameron should do if we vote "Remain"

16 June 2016
Prospect
If the UK votes on 23rd June to stay in the EU, Britain and its partners will face a choice: to carry on with their previous dysfunctional relationship, or to create something better.

UCL debate: 'Highlights of Brexit: Its consequences for other member-states'

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
15 June 2016
UCL debate on; What are the likely effects of Brexit on politics within other member states? Would Brexit change remaining member states’ relationships with the EU? Would it affect decision-making within member states?

Why UK needs its seat at the top table

15 June 2016
The Times
Ian Bond, of the Centre for European Reform, argues that if Britain stays in the EU it must find new ways of projecting its power. Britain could help the EU to construct a data-sharing and privacy regime able to withstand challenges in the European Court of Justice. There is a case for Britain backing more EU collaboration in operational intelligence-sharing (against people smugglers in Libya for example) and boosting defence research. Britain, said Mr Bond, “should accept that the market alone will not protect central European countries reliant on Russian gas”. The government should work together with the Commission to ensure that Moscow cannot use the supply of gas to weaker EU members as a weapon.

CER podcast: The impact of a Brexit on different British regions

John Springford, Sophia Besch
14 June 2016
John Springford talks to Sophia Besch about euroscepticism and hostility to immigration in England’s regions outside of London and the South East.

Brexit: Britain leaving the EU could be a messy divorce

13 June 2016
The Daily Mail
"There is no shortage of problems facing the EU, so having the British problem to deal with as well is going to be one more thing that the EU could do without," said Ian Bond, head of foreign policy at the London-based Centre for European Reform. "It would add to the kind of loss of self-confidence that the EU suffered with the 2008 economic crisis. It never really recovered."

What's worked for tourism has not for exports

Christian Odendahl
13 June 2016
Ekathimerini
"Greece has gained some price competitiveness due to the sliding wages, which has helped the tourism sector, but this has not translated into a boost for exports, which face a set of more complex challenges", argues Christian Odendahl, the chief economist at the Centre for European Reform in London.

Die EU zwischen ökonomischer Integration und politischer Machbarkeit

Christian Odendahl
13 June 2016
Bundeszentrale für politische Bildung
The debate on the referendum on UK membership of the European Union is dominated by economic arguments. How successful is the EU from an economic point of view? What lessons can be drawn from the referendum debate?

The charms of variable geometry

11 June 2016
The Economist
These concessions may seem esoteric, but Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank in London, thinks they are important - and not just for Britain. What the EU has conceded is, in effect, that its members are now moving not just at different speeds but towards different ultimate destinations. This is why true believers in a federal Europe hated the deal given to Mr Cameron. But some other non-euro countries, like Sweden, Poland and Hungary, liked it. Indeed, if Brexit prevails on June 23rd, they may try to secure the same deal for themselves.

UK voters back Norway-style Brexit, poll reveals

11 June 2016
The Telegraph
John Springford, of the Centre for European Reform, said that free movement would be an "obvious roadblock" for anyone in Westminster hoping to keep the UK in the EEA. Mr Springford said: "It would be hard for elites to claim that the referendum had not essentially been a vote against free movement, when the majority of people who want to vote leave cite it as their biggest issue."
The EU and NATO will both want to make Brexit work

The EU and NATO will both want to make Brexit work

11 June 2016
The Telegraph
The leaders of Nato's 28 member-states met in Warsaw last week against a background of security crises on all sides.