Research

Are the scenarios in Juncker’s White Paper on the future of the EU realistic?

Camino Mortera-Martinez
03 March 2017
On Wednesday, the European Commission presented its ‘White Paper on the future of Europe’, ahead of the Treaty of Rome’s 60th anniversary celebrations on March 25th.

Trump, trade and the EU: Two wrongs don't make a right

John Springford, Christian Odendahl
23 February 2017
The US will not gain by resorting to protectionism. If it does so, the EU should stay calm, listen when US criticism is justified, and make its first priority the defence of the WTO process and the rule of law.

The end of the transatlantic trade consensus?

Rem Korteweg
21 February 2017
Trump, Brexit and European scepticism about TTIP spell the end of transatlantic leadership on trade.

Mrs May's emerging deal on Brexit: Not just hard, but also difficult

20 February 2017
What will the Brexit deal look like? Which are the key decisions that Theresa May still has to make? And what should she do in order to get the best possible deal?

The year of Brexit and Trump: Annual report 2016

Charles Grant, Simon Tilford, Ian Bond, Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, Camino Mortera-Martinez
13 February 2017
The CER's annual report features essays on how Brexit and Trump are changing the world. It also highlights CER research on Brexit, economics, foreign policy and much else.
Crisis of capitalism? Perhaps, but don’t blame it on globalisation

Crisis of capitalism? Perhaps, but don't blame it on globalisation

Simon Tilford
10 February 2017
Globalisation did not force governments to adopt policies that divided their countries, exacerbated inequality and hit social mobility. Many of them did those things by choice.

The €60 billion Brexit bill: How to disentangle Britain from the EU budget

Alex Barker
06 February 2017
A stand-off between the EU and Britain over the size of its exit bill could lead to the collapse of negotiations and an abrupt, disorderly Brexit.
The EU and Libya: Realism or irrelevance

The EU and Libya: Realism or irrelevance

03 February 2017
Europe cannot view Libya only through the lens of migration. It needs to stabilise the country, brokering a compromise between different factions.

Parliamentarians in Brexit talks: Bulls in a china shop?

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
01 February 2017
David Davis promised that Westminster will have the same scrutiny powers in the Brexit talks as the European Parliament would. But what does that really mean?

Britain's economy: Enjoy the calm before the storm

Simon Tilford
26 January 2017
Britain's economy has not weathered the Brexit storm. But the calm before the storm has lasted longer than many economists expected.

May is weak in Europe but strong at home

26 January 2017
The EU-27 fear domestic politics will drive Britain towards a very hard Br‎exit. But Theresa May is strong enough at home to resist such pressures, if she wishes to.

Russia, the West and Eastern Europe: Lenin's long shadow

26 January 2017
Russia's neighbours in Eastern Europe are dogged by their Soviet legacy. Both Russia and the West need better strategies to deal with Europe's contested spaces.

What does the Supreme Court's ruling mean for British parliamentary sovereignty?

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
25 January 2017
The Supreme Court ruled that Theresa May needs to ask Parliament for its consent to notify of the UK's intention to leave the EU.

Where will Donald Trump take the world?

20 January 2017
Donald Trump has been sworn in as 45th President of the United States, and delivered a short but savage inaugural address. If he means what he says, he is going to do enormous damage both to the US and to the rest of the world.
What free movement means to Europe and why it matters to Britain

What free movement means to Europe and why it matters to Britain

Camino Mortera-Martinez, Christian Odendahl
19 January 2017
Britain and the EU-27 view migration very differently. That could complicate the Brexit and free trade negotiations.

Will the new president of the European Parliament make any difference to the Brexit talks?

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
18 January 2017
The European Parliament (EP) yesterday elected Antonio Tajani, an Italian MEP from the centre-right European People’s Party (EPP), as its new president.

What does Theresa May’s speech tell us about how Britain will leave the EU?

17 January 2017
Until now, Theresa May’s government has avoided being open about the trade-offs that Brexit entails: the more that Britain restores sovereignty, the greater the economic costs.

What does Theresa May's speech tell us about how Britain will leave the EU?

17 January 2017
Theresa May has decided on a hard Brexit, putting sovereignty ahead of economics. She thinks the negotiations will take only two years, but they will take longer.

Europe's make-or-break country: What is wrong with Italy's economy?

Christian Odendahl, Ferdinando Giugliano
19 December 2016
Italy's economic problems are a threat to the eurozone and the EU as a whole. While the euro has not helped Italy, its problems are mainly homegrown.