Macroeconomics & the euro

David Cameron has left the City more, not less, vulnerable to EU law

Philip Whyte
14 December 2011
The Guardian
There are many puzzles about the British government's tactics at last week's EU summit. One is why it chose to identify the City of London as the "vital national interest" that needed special protection. The City, after all, is the most unpopular "national champion" that the UK possesses. It accounts...

Immediate summit reaction

09 December 2011
CER
This week’s summit will do little to solve the fundamentals of this crisis. What has been agreed is definitely not a fiscal union, there is no agreement to close any of the institutional gaps in the eurozone, such as the lack of any real fiscal union or pan-eurozone backstop to...

Ma l’Europa di Merkozy è già vecchia

08 December 2011
Europaquotidiano
«In questo momento mi pare si possa adattare ai leader europei quello che Churchill usava dire a proposito degli americani: si può sempre essere sicuri che facciano la cosa giusta, una volta che abbiano esaurito tutte le altre possibilità». Charles Grant, direttore del Centre for European Reform di Londra, è...

Single currency doomed in current form

05 December 2011
Channel 4 News
As Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel discuss the eurozone debt crisis in Paris, economist  Simon Tilford tells Channel 4 News the single currency cannot survive in its present form.

The French president and German chancellor are at odds over how to resolve the crisis, with Berlin pushing for tougher sanctions...

Believe it or not, Angela Merkel has a plan to tackle the euro crisis

Katinka Barysch
05 December 2011
The Guardian
While Merkel's vision for a fiscal union may not be the answer to all the eurozone's problems it could be a vital part of any solution.
A new "fiscal union" to underpin the euro is the main topic that Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy will discuss at their Paris meeting. Merkel...

Is Austerity George saving the UK economy?

30 November 2011
The Times
Britain’s unlikely status as a safe haven is more to do with Europe’s problems than our cuts.George Osborne likes to point at Britain’s record low borrowing costs — the Government can issue ten-year debt at just over 2 per cent — as proof of confidence in his stewardship of the economy.

Los británicos defienden a España e Irlanda: alemanes son también culpables de la crisis

Philip Whyte, Simon Tilford
23 November 2011
Invertia
Los expertos del Centre for European Reform (CER), una agrupación británica pro europea, Simon Tilford y Philip Whyte, aseguran en el informe “¿Por qué normas más estrictas ponen en peligro a la UE?” que no toda la culpa de la actual crisis es de los países periféricos, los mal llamados...

Neo-Calvinists and the euro crisis

Paul Krugman
22 November 2011
The New York Times
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard sends us to a very good essay(pdf) by the Centre for European Reform warning of the consequences of relying on the “North European interpretation” of the eurozone crisis, which essentially sees the crisis as a morality tale, pitting those who sinned against those who stuck to the...

Self-serving myths of Europe's neo-Calvinists

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
21 November 2011
The Daily Telegraph
If you have half an hour, read this paper (pdf) by Philip Whyte and Simon Tilford for the Centre for European Reform. It is a forensic look into the deeper causes of Europe's crisis and why the reactionary policies being imposed on two thirds of the eurozone by Germany's Wolfgang Schauble and the northern neo-Calvinists – with input from 1930s liquidationists at the ECB – will lead to certain disaster. 

Debate: Should we feel sorry for Greece?

07 November 2011
BBC News
Greece is at the eye of the storm gathering over the world economy, and threatening to tear the eurozone apart. But should the rest of us be sorry for Greece, or angry? Here, two experts present opposing arguments for and against sympathy.
AGAINST SYMPATHY - Nicholas Walton, European Council on...

Interview: La ricetta anticrisi della Germania è illogica

20 October 2011
La Repubblica
Per l'economista del Centre for European Reform l'idea di Berlino che i paesi dell'Europa meridionale debbano "vivere con i propri mezzi" è moralistica e controproducente. Le politiche restrittive peggiorano la situazione. L’aiuto cinese non serve.
Simon Tilford è capo economista del Centre for European Reform. Nei suoi interventi degli ultimi due...

Resuscitating the euro

07 October 2011
The National Interest
For almost two years, the eurozone has been stricken with a potentially fatal malaise. Three crises have intermingled and reinforced each other: Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain face crises of excessive debt (public and private); those same countries suffer from anemic economic growth; and much of the European Union is afflicted with a banking crisis.

Europe doesn’t lack funds, just political will

26 September 2011
Financial Times
The following article was written in response to 'Only the IMF can solve eurozone crisis' by Ragharam Rajan, published in the Financial Times, 26 September 2011.

Het einde van de euro

25 September 2011
NRC Weekend
De beleidsmakers van de eurozone, en vooral de Duitsers en de Nederlanders, zijn niet in staat gebleken uit te stijgen boven hun overmoed en morele betweterij, zodat de eurozone maar heel weinig munitie heeft om de komende financiële storm te trotseren.

La via maestra degli eurobond

10 August 2011
Il sole 24 Ore
Le debolezze istituzionali dell'eurozona sono state messe a nudo. Il tentativo di attuare una politica monetaria comune senza un Tesoro comune è fallito.

Eurobonds or bust

08 August 2011
Project Syndicate
The eurozone’s institutional weaknesses have been laid bare. The attempt to run a common monetary policy without a common treasury has failed.

A real threat of stagnation

08 August 2011
The Voice of Russia
In Europe, or in the US more particularly, we are seeing investors are losing confidence in the ability of various economies, various governments to service their debts.

European leaders must step up their game

11 July 2011
Financial Times
George Soros is right that Germany's new approach to Europe bears some responsibility for the eurozone crisis. Germany's leaders are finding it hard to consider broader European rather than immediate national interests.

Compétitivité ou productivité pour relancer la croissance européenne?

20 June 2011
Les Echos
Une mauvaise compréhension de ce que sont les moteurs de la croissance économique menace la reprise en Europe. Ses dirigeants sont obsédés par la compétitivité et paraissent croire sincèrement que prospérité rime avec excédent commercial.

A smaller eurozone would be stronger

20 June 2011
The Times
A single European currency has the merit of encouraging trade and investment across frontiers, and thus growth. But countries with inflexible, badly-run economies should never have been allowed to join the euro. The sooner the eurozone shrinks, the sooner it will stabilise.
A country such as Greece with large budget and...

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