Press

China is winning the cyberwar

24 March 2022
The American Conservative
Sanctions are very much in vogue, so I asked Ian Bond of the Centre for European Reform, if the US should sanction China for its cyber provocations. He said it depends: “Intrusions for espionage purposes [commercial or against the state] are annoying, but part of the normal business of states.” Offensive action, on the other hand, such as “strikes that cripple critical national infrastructure, might rise to the level of an act of war if they cause casualties,” Bond added.

Necesitamos balas. Y un plan para no usarlas

24 March 2022
El Periodico
A medida que la guerra se alarga, nosotros, los europeos, vamos entendiendo cada vez menos. Sin apoyo social, no hay unidad europea.

TRT World: NATO leaders meet in Brussels to discuss conflict response

24 March 2022
An emergency summit of NATO leaders is taking place in Brussels. They’re expected to discuss ways of bolstering the alliance’s support for Ukraine, while also looking to put more pressure on Russia. Ian Bond, director of foreign policy at the CER weighs in on possible outcomes.

EPI drops card plans after member banks pull the plug

23 March 2022
VIXIO
The interchange and scheme fee component is typically set by Visa and Mastercard, which compete with each other to offer the best revenue incentives for their customer banks. Hence, if the EPI succeeds, banks will likely lose revenue, said Zach Meyers, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform. This set-up has created several challenges for the EPI, Meyers told VIXIO.

Amid protests, Europe limited in curbing high energy prices

23 March 2022
AP
“The main problem is that these measures [energy tax cuts] to keep energy prices low will also suppress incentives for energy efficiency, for investment in green energy generation, and for electrifying sectors that currently rely on fossil fuels — so they could make the long-term pain of adjustment harder,” Cornago said.

OBR report suggests Brexit means UK 'missed out' on global trade recovery

23 March 2022
The National
Cited as evidence for this statement [that UK good exports to the EU were down by 18 per cent on 2019 levels] is a report from John Springford, the deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London. Entitled “The Cost of Brexit: December 2021”, the report found a weak overall UK goods export performance compared to if the UK had stayed in the EU.

The data provisions in the EU's upcoming Big Tech law

22 March 2022
iapp
"Most of the studies leading up to the DMA recognize that gatekeepers' privileged access to data is a key reason why they have entrenched market power. There are legitimate concerns, too, that gatekeepers are withholding information from their business users to keep the market opaque," Zach Meyers, a research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said.

Sanctioning Russia: A co-operative endeavour, not a competitive sport

22 March 2022
Encompass
The West surprised many with its decisive response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, imposing an unprecedented set of economic sanctions on Russia.

UK economy feeling the pain a year on from Brexit

22 March 2022
International Banker
“A loss of 4-5% of GDP is a big deal,” wrote John Springford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform (CER), in a research note, agreeing with the OBR’s prediction. “Governments everywhere would leap on a policy that would raise GDP by 5%.” 

Ukraine crisis another nudge for joint EU bonds

Christian Odendahl
21 March 2022
Reuters
Christian Odendahl, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, sees the war, which Moscow calls a "special military operation", as a turning point of sorts for Europe, even if the road remains unclear. It would affect European "integration as much or more as the COVID crisis helped propel a joint fiscal capacity and borrowing, which were both unthinkable when corona was still a beer," Odendahl said.
 

Zelensky's mission: To shake Europe out of business as usual

18 March 2022
The Australian Financial Review
“As the conflict escalates, maintaining European and Western unity is likely to become more difficult – not least because Putin will try to undermine it in every way he can,” analysts at the Centre for European Reform wrote this week.“So far, support for Ukraine has seemed relatively risk-free for European publics. But Putin will do all he can to change this perception and curtail European military assistance to Ukraine.”

Unia Europejska dalej finansuje Putina. Dziurawe sankcje na Rosję

15 March 2022
Do Rzeczy
Działania UE są niespójne. Odcinamy Bank Rosji od rezerw dewizowych, ale codziennie wysyłamy tam 600–700 mln euro – podkreśla Zach Meyers, ekspert Centre for European Reform w Londynie. Ekspert podkreśla, że Zachód musi wprowadzić embargo na energię. Takie sankcje musiałyby być natychmiastowe, gdyż stopniowe embargo pozwoli Rosji znaleźć nowe rynki zbytu.

What would Russian WMDs mean for NATO's 'red lines'?

15 March 2022
Deutsche Welle
Ian Bond, director of foreign policy at the Centre for European Reform, told DW that, though such a scenario is implausible, it's not impossible. Given Stoltenberg's rhetoric, Bond said, it's likely "that the Russians are doing things that suggest they are preparing to launch that kind of attack somewhere.”But it's the "somewhere" that makes all the difference under the alliance's current posture. "NATO, rightly or wrongly, has drawn this bright red line that says we're not going to defend Ukrainian soil, but we will defend NATO soil," he said.

Solidaire, l’Union européenne gère sa plus grave crise migratoire

11 March 2022
Le Figaro
Pour Camino Mortera, chef du bureau bruxellois du Centre for European Reform, les comparaisons n’ont pas lieu d’être. D’abord, «ce n’est pas une guerre comme les autres», mais une «menace à l’ordre international et la sécurité européenne». Cela se passe «à côté de chez nous, et pourrait se passer chez nous». 

United on Ukraine, EU tackles the devil in details at summit

10 March 2022
ABC News
“The chance of all member states agreeing to admit Ukraine while it is at war with Russia is virtually zero, as it could trigger conflict with Moscow,” said Luigi Scazzieri, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform.

Brexit in numbers - British exports lag advanced economies

10 March 2022
Financial Times
John Springford at the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank... says that comparing UK exports to the EU in 2019 and 2021 gives a false impression that things are somehow back to normal. They are not.
In a new paper for the CER, Springford compares the UK performance with our peers in the global trade arena and finds that the UK is underperforming badly when compared to these countries that have experienced a post-Covid export boom in 2021.

United on Ukraine, EU tackles the devil in details at summit

10 March 2022
The Independent
“The chance of all member states agreeing to admit Ukraine while it is at war with Russia is virtually zero, as it could trigger conflict with Moscow,” said Luigi Scazzieri, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform.

EU lets down Ukraine: France and Holland lead the calls to DENY fast-track bid to join the bloc, with membership off the table for now

10 March 2022
The Daily Mail
'The chance of all member states agreeing to admit Ukraine while it is at war with Russia is virtually zero, as it could trigger conflict with Moscow,' said Luigi Scazzieri, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform.

EU struggles to deepen unity on defence and energy

09 March 2022
Financial Times
“We’ve seen the almost total dependence of Europe on the US not just for troops but also for intelligence and general leadership in Nato,” said Sophia Besch, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform. “That’s a dependence that becomes more perilous as the US elections near. The EU is not going to be able to secure its own defence in the next two years.”

The EU does not need to reform Schengen. It needs to build back trust

09 March 2022
Encompass
The 9/11 attacks were a wake-up call for the West: no country could fight crime and terrorism alone.