Press
The UK economy since the Brexit vote
11 October 2018
The Financial Times
Financial Times research has shown that by the end of the first quarter, the UK economy was between 1 and 1.5 per cent smaller than it would have been without the Brexit vote, although some independent estimates, such as a recent report from the Centre for European Reform, suggest the hit could have been as large as 2.5 per cent.
Brexit’s economic damage is getting real
10 October 2018
The Edge Markets
The Centre for European Reform’s (CER) John Springford has taken the Born-led model a step further. The CER approach uses not just GDP, but also other attributes of 22 advanced economies — including the inflation rate, openness to trade, investment ratio and how well-educated the population is — to create a doppelganger UK that most closely matches the country’s economy before the referendum. Based on that methodology, the CER puts the cost of Brexit at 2.5% of GDP.
Fears rat hair, maggots and mould might start appearing in British food following post-Brexit trade deal
10 October 2018
The Independent
Sam Lowe, a trade specialist at the Centre For European Reform, predicted that the US would want the UK to move away from EU food standards and much closer to its own in any future free trade deal negotiation. “The US actively dislikes many existing EU measures and will certainly pressurise the UK to jettison many of them in any FTA negotiations with the UK,” Mr Lowe told Business Insider.
Die Frau, die über den Brexit entscheidet
10 October 2018
Die Welt
In London vermutet man hinter Fosters lauter Ablehnung derweil Kalkül. „Meint sie ihr Nein ernst? Anfangs hatte die DUP auch eine Unterstützung der Minderheitsregierung abgelehnt und sich dann doch darauf eingelassen“, erinnert Sam Lowe daran, dass May Nordirland nach der Wahl kurzfristig umgerechnet 1,2 Milliarden Euro Sonderhilfen zusagte. „Nordirland ist in vielerlei Hinsicht nicht in Großbritannien integriert. Etwa in seiner kategorischen Ablehnung der rechtlich verbindlichen Homo-Ehe oder des Abtreibungsrechts. Das Beharren auf die Integrität des Territoriums birgt aber hohe Symbolik, und die ist wichtig für die DUP“, sagt der Handelsexperte vom Centre for European Reform.
Post-Brexit Britain: Why UK could be forced to accept rat hair and maggots in their food after US trade deal
10 October 2018
The Daily Mail
Sam Lowe, a trade specialist for the Centre For European Reform told Business Insider that the US would 'pressure' the UK to align its food standards closer with the FDA rules.
'The US actively dislikes many existing EU measures and will certainly pressurise the UK to jettison many of them in any FTA negotiations with the UK,' Lowe told BI this week.
'The US actively dislikes many existing EU measures and will certainly pressurise the UK to jettison many of them in any FTA negotiations with the UK,' Lowe told BI this week.
CER podcast: Instability in Libya and a divided EU
10 October 2018
Sophia Besch asks Luigi Scazzieri about the latest escalation of the conflict in Libya, and they discuss the EU's fragmented policy.
„May ist ein Desaster”
10 October 2018
Bilanz
Das Endspiel hat begonnen: Brexit-Experte Charles Grant über den Niedergang der politischen Klasse in England, das Trauerspiel der Premierministerin – und das Vorbild Schweiz.
Brexit's economic damage is getting real
09 October 2018
Bloomberg
The Centre for European Reform’s John Springford has taken the Born-led model a step further. The CER approach uses not just GDP, but also other attributes of 22 advanced economies — including the inflation rate, openness to trade, investment ratio and how well-educated the population is — to create a doppelganger U.K. that most closely matches the country’s economy before the referendum. Based on that methodology, the CER puts the cost of Brexit at 2.5 percent of GDP.
UK businessman posts defiant anti-Brexit war cry
09 October 2018
France 24
Leaving the EU is “a car crash waiting to happen” and “the worst thing to happen to the UK since the Second World War”, he said, citing an estimated cost of £500 million a week that was provided last month by the Centre for European Reform think-tank.
Le Pen i Salvini nie chcą utożsamiać się z Trumpem
09 October 2018
Rzeczpospolita
Partie populistyczne wyciągnęły wnioski z przeszłości i nie obiecują już wyprowadzenia swoich państw z UE. Szczególnie po decyzji Wielkiej Brytanii o brexicie wiedzą, że to nie jest postulat popierany przez wyborców – zauważa Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska z Centre for European Reform (CER) w Londynie.
Remainers shouldn’t assume EU leaders will welcome second referendum
08 October 2018
The Financial Times
“The member states and the EU institutions want the UK out before the European Parliament elections in late May 2019 and the nomination of a new commission afterwards, or Britain would be obliged to take part. The EU has already agreed to redistribute 27 of Britain’s 73 seats in the European Parliament to other member states. France — one of the hardliners in the Brexit talks — is among the countries that are due to benefit from this redistribution. It is hard to imagine that Paris will be eager to give the UK more leeway.” (Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, senior research fellow and Beth Oppenheim, researcher at the Centre for European Reform).
Remainers shouldn't assume EU leaders will welcome another Brexit referendum
08 October 2018
The Telegraph
Prime Minister Theresa May has yet again ruled out a new EU referendum. There has already been a people’s vote, and the people voted to leave, she told her party conference last week.
Staying in the EU is best for everyone apart from Boris Johnson
07 October 2018
The Mirror
Brexit already costs £500million a week after uncertainty slashed economic growth by 2.5%, according to the Centre for European Reform think-tank.
Rachel Reeves: Why I’m backing a People’s Vote on any Brexit deal
06 October 2018
The Yorkshire Post
The £500m cost is the conclusion of the Centre for European Reform which warned the UK economy was already 2.5 per cent smaller than it would have been Britain had voted to remain in the EU.
New approaches to upholding democratic values in Poland
05 October 2018
Carnegie Europe
For almost three years, Poland has backtracked on the rule of law. The EU needs a comprehensive strategy to make the Polish public more resilient to the government’s populist narrative.
SIEPS: Brexit – state of play
05 October 2018
As the date for the United Kingdom formally leaving the European Union approaches, negotiations are at a critical stage. There is urgency on both sides to agree on the conditions for the UK leaving the union, as well as on the nature of the future relationship between the two.
Britain faces more than a decade in EU trade limbo once Brexit deal signed
05 October 2018
The Telegraph
Sam Lowe, senior research fellow and trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, said, “It is unlikely that anything of substance will be agreed on the future trade relationship before leaving, meaning there will be much left to discuss in the transition.“If there was a clear direction and agreed, set parameters it is possible that the negotiations could be concluded before the transition ends, it seems improbable.”
Dogs, Russia and Grayling face questions of intelligence
05 October 2018
The Guardian
In what could be seen as a huge boost for the Eurosceptic European Research Group’s Canada + model, the Centre for European Reform think-tank has revealed that Bear Grylls is looking for some leading Brexit enthusiasts and policy wonks to appear as contestants in his next series of The Island – only the island in question will be the UK and the format will be a little different from usual.
La muger que nunca ganaba a las damas
04 October 2018
El Periodico Internacional
Como una buena reina del baile, Theresa May va a necesitar la creatividad de un buen jugador de ajedrez para cuadrar el círculo irlandés.
Brussels briefing: Balkan borders
04 October 2018
The Financial Times
Signs of a thawing relationship between Kosovo and Serbia give hope to the EU about getting the region closer into Brussels orbit, writes Ian Bond at the Centre for European Reform: "The EU believes that the prospect of enlargement will be enough to guarantee agreement between Kosovo and Serbia, especially now that Serbia (as well as Montenegro) has been told that it can join the EU by 2025, if it fulfils the EU’s membership requirements."