Press
Cosa teme davvero l'Ue dalle elezioni presidenziali Usa
05 November 2024
Europa Today
"Questa volta l'Europa potrebbe non essere in grado di fare affidamento sull'approccio caotico di Trump alla governance, il che ha significato che nel suo primo mandato molti annunci politici non hanno mai portato ad azioni", ha sottolineato l'esperto di politica estera USA Ian Bond, del Centre for European Reform.
Here are 3 ways the US election could change the future of Europe
03 November 2024
Fortune Magazine
Trump, the Republican candidate, plans to impose an additional 10%-20% in cross-border tariffs, making trade expensive and possibly weakening the euro. “Tariffs will seriously dampen the EU’s economic growth,” Zach Meyers, assistant director of the Centre for European Reform, told Fortune.
Europa y el mundo contienen el aliento ante el temor de una vuelta al poder de Trump que agitaría el orden global
03 November 2024
Publico
Luigi Scazzieri, del Centre for European Reform (CER), también destaca que un segundo mandato de Trump generará un "nuevo periodo de turbulencias transatlánticas, alta tensión comercial y en el seno de la OTAN y con respecto a Ucrania, China y Oriente Próximo".
US election: Brussels worried about shifting security, defense balance
02 November 2024
Anadolu Ajansı
Luigi Scazzieri, transatlantic relations expert at the Centre for European Reform said: "Trump has also made no secret of his dislike for NATO and belief that Europeans are freeriding on the US for security" and a Trump victory would divide the EU and put it under pressure.On the other hand, a Kamala Harris victory would likely mean continuity with current Biden administration policies, according to Scazzieri.
Europe Express: Not much better with Harris?
02 November 2024
Financial Times
Writing for the Centre for European Reform think-tank, Aslak Berg and Zach Meyers suggest that the EU might find Harris difficult to deal with on economic issues:. . . while Harris would likely be more interested than Trump in transatlantic dialogue, both candidates have economic priorities which will put Europe in an awkward position — including getting tougher on China, and boosting US jobs in sectors sensitive to Europe, such as vehicle production.
De economie van Europa staat op zijn kop: Duitsland kwakkelt, Zuid-Europa floreert
01 November 2024
NRC Handelsblad
Ook econoom Sander Tordoir, verbonden aan denktank Centre for European Reform, erkent de invloed van het toerisme, die weer profiteert van de economische groei van de VS en de sterke dollar: „Onlangs sprak ik met twee economen van een zakenbank. Die hadden twee keer de groei van de Spaanse economie te laag ingeschat, omdat ze de portemonnee van de Amerikaanse toerist hadden onderschat.”
CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: Moldova and Georgia: In Brussels' orbit, or Moscow's?
31 October 2024
Ian Bond and Zselyke Csaky discuss the elections in Georgia and Moldova.
US and China tensions could herald new troubles for Europe’s economy, Volkswagen’s woes
31 October 2024
EurActiv
“There's no doubt that Trump will do something to Germany because he's been very clear that he's targeting Germany's surplus. So that definitely will be a rough ride,” Sander Tordoir, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform (CER), told Euractiv.However, Tordoir noted that Trump’s re-election could also incentivise Beijing to attempt to seek closer ties with Brussels.
France allows six Russian army deserters, and partners, to enter country, apply for asylum
30 October 2024
Voice of America
A French court ruled in 2023 that Russians who refuse to fight can claim refugee status, but most are not able to travel abroad to lodge an asylum application, said Ian Bond, a Russia expert and deputy director of the Centre for European Reform.
Parliamentary elections in Georgia: What is at stake
25 October 2024
Deutsche Welle
Anunita Chandrasekar of the Centre for European Reform, an independent think-tank with offices in London, Brussels and Berlin, believes that the EU's toolkit for countering election violations in Georgia is limited mainly to economic and political measures.
How the US presidential election could shape relations with Europe
25 October 2024
Semafor
There’s bipartisan consensus in Washington on reducing trade with China, and the EU is largely on board - but Europe’s more trade-intensive economy means it also risks becoming “collateral damage” in the US-China economic rivalry, two experts argued for the Centre for European Reform. Many European firms have made significant investments in China, and cheap Chinese goods have contributed to lower prices amid continent-wide concerns about purchasing power, meaning the EU needs to be more “selective” in its approach to Beijing to avoid an all-out trade war, they wrote.
Trage groei, exploderende schulden, klimaatschade en protectionisme: deze cocktail kost het IMF heel wat hoofdbrekens
25 October 2024
NRC Handelsblad
Die spanning zie je ook bij de IMF-aanbevelingen aan China, zegt Sander Tordoir, econoom bij denktank Centre for European Reform en IMF-kenner. „Toen het IMF eerder dit jaar in China op bezoek ging, kreeg het land te horen dat het goed zou zijn voorzichtig te bezuinigen, om te voorkomen dat het te diep in de schulden zou raken. Deze week klonk het juist dat het goed zou zijn de zwakke binnenlandse vraag aan te jagen via de overheidsbegroting.”
Britten prijzen Marjan Rintel tijdens zakendiner
25 October 2024
De Telegraaf
Wat de Britten betreft, gaat dit alleen maar toenemen: „De economie in het Verenigd Koninkrijk lijdt”, volgens Charles Grant, directeur van het Centre for European Reform, een denktank over Europese integratie, gevestigd in Londen.
Would Donald Trump’s trade tariffs hurt Europe?
24 October 2024
Euronews
“The EU hasn't been doing what the US has in terms of decoupling from China and reducing imports. This is one of the few things that's been keeping the European economy afloat,” Zach Meyers, assistant director at the Centre for European Reform (CER), explained.“But how long will the US continue to allow Europe to straddle both horses at the same time? I think it’s a difficult question,” he added.
Why Europe’s populists should fear a Trump win
24 October 2024
The New European
But many followers of European politics assume – and seemingly not without reason – that the return of a far right US president would be good for the populist right in Europe. Two-term Trump would “embolden” these politicians, says Luigi Scazzieri of the Centre for European Reform. “They will be less restrained in pushing forward ideas and policies that are socially conservative, anti-climate, anti-immigration, as these would again be normalised in the White House.”
The road to Europe for Georgia and Moldova: No diversion via Moscow
24 October 2024
Encompass
Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine spent decades trying to persuade the EU to offer them the prospect of membership. It took Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 for them to get the EU to agree.
Economie Interview Sander Tordoir: 'Er hangt een angstsluier over de Duitse economie'
19 October 2024
de Volkskrant
De ooit zo succesvolle Duitse economie is piepend en krakend tot stilstand gekomen. Maar er is hoop, zegt econoom Sander Tordoir.
„China-Schock“ für die deutsche Industrie: Experten sehen ohne Strafzölle und neue Schulden kein Entkommen
18 October 2024
Frankfurter Rundschau
Die EU müsse gegenuber China „konfrontativer werden“, erklärt Sander Tordoir – speziell in Sektoren mit hohem Exportmarktanteil wie bei Windturbinen. Dazu zählten Strafzölle, nationale Kaufanreize für klimafreundliche Produkte sowie mehr Schulden.
Italy's divisive Meloni sets tone on EU migration file
18 October 2024
Barrons
"Von der Leyen understands where the political winds are blowing," said political analyst Luigi Scazzieri of the Centre for European Reform think-tank.
CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: Europe and the Middle East – just a bystander?
14 October 2024
Anunita Chandrasekar and Luigi Scazzieri discuss Europe's role in the Middle East conflict.