Press
Polskie Radio: Parlament Europejski chce mieć wpływ na negocjacje
02 April 2017
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska talks to Polskie Radio about the position of the European Parliament on Brexit.
Security is risky card for Britain in Brexit talks, analysts say
31 March 2017
EurActiv
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said that in the tough talks ahead with the EU, “Britain’s strongest card is its contribution to European security.”
David Davis, Britain’s Brexit street fighter
31 March 2017
Financial Times
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, says this was the week when it became clear that Mrs May was determined to reach a deal with the EU and was ready to compromise. Securing that goal could depend much on the relationship between Mr Davis and “Michel”, who at the age of 66 is also on the comeback trail.
“Like Barnier, Davis wants a deal,” Mr Grant says. “He’s building a relationship with Barnier and that’s to his credit. For both of them, it is one last hurrah.”
“Like Barnier, Davis wants a deal,” Mr Grant says. “He’s building a relationship with Barnier and that’s to his credit. For both of them, it is one last hurrah.”
BBC Newsnight: Brexit and Article 50 - The view from Germany
30 March 2017
What do people in Germany think about the triggering of Article 50 - and the UK's decision to leave the EU? Diplomatic editor Mark Urban interviews Christian Odendahl (02:38).
CER podcast: Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska on the triggering of Article 50
30 March 2017
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska talks to Sophia Besch about the triggering of Article 50, the tone and substance of the letter, how it was received in Brussels, and how we can expect negotiations to unfold.
May hints at using security as Brexit bargain chip
30 March 2017
EU Observer
"Any indication that the UK would use security as a bargaining chip would irritate EU partners," Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska, a research fellow at the London-based think tank, the Centre for European Reform, told EUobserver...
...Gostynska-Jakubowska told EUobserver she was struck that May kept to her agenda of concluding the divorce settlement and the future agreement in two years.
She said that the plan was "unrealistic" and that May has set "the bar really really high".
...Gostynska-Jakubowska told EUobserver she was struck that May kept to her agenda of concluding the divorce settlement and the future agreement in two years.
She said that the plan was "unrealistic" and that May has set "the bar really really high".
Brexit starts - and it’s going to be a rough road out of the EU
30 March 2017
Radio France International
“The British want to get straight into the nitty-gritty of citizens’ rights and the future relationship between the two,” says Simon Tilford, deputy director of the London-based Centre for European Reform.
“Obviously they understand they need to negotiate the divorce settlement alongside that but they want to be doing it simultaneously.
“Obviously they understand they need to negotiate the divorce settlement alongside that but they want to be doing it simultaneously.
Brexit countdown leaves British defense industry uneasy
29 March 2017
Defense News
Sophia Besch, a researcher at the Centre for European Reform, told the RUSI audience that “on balance Brexit could mean that in the EU countries that are proponents of European protectionism, of the buy Euro mentality, will have a greater voice post Brexit.”
Notwithstanding the economic and exchange rate pressures potentially influencing defense procurement, Besch said that whatever the outcome of the negotiations, the impact on industry may not be felt for a while, in part due to the duration of existing equipment programs.
Notwithstanding the economic and exchange rate pressures potentially influencing defense procurement, Besch said that whatever the outcome of the negotiations, the impact on industry may not be felt for a while, in part due to the duration of existing equipment programs.
TOK FM: Wielka Brytania dziś oficjalnie rozpoczyna procedurę wyjścia z UE
29 March 2017
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska talks to TOK FM about the Article 50 notification letter.
When will Britain finally leave the EU now that Article 50 has been triggered?
29 March 2017
The Express
John Springford, director of research at the Centre for European Reform (CER), said: “If no deal is struck in two years, the member-state departs — unless all 28 countries agree to extend the talks.”
Theresa May has said that “no deal is better than a bad deal”and the UK could walk away from talks. But Mr Springford said: “This is not true...
...“Leaving the EU with no deal would mean tariffs on trade; legal chaos, with every British company selling to the EU unsure if they are doing so legally; and Britain’s alliances with other European countries in ruins.
Theresa May has said that “no deal is better than a bad deal”and the UK could walk away from talks. But Mr Springford said: “This is not true...
...“Leaving the EU with no deal would mean tariffs on trade; legal chaos, with every British company selling to the EU unsure if they are doing so legally; and Britain’s alliances with other European countries in ruins.
Le Brexit, c'est parti!
29 March 2017
Le Matin
Camino Mortera-Martinez, chercheuse au centre de réflexion londonien Centre for European Reform, juge également "très improbable" que les discussions soient bouclées en deux ans.
Theresa May refuse de garantir les droits des quelques trois millions de citoyens européens qui vivent au Royaume-Uni alors que son principal objectif est de réduire l'immigration en provenance de l'UE.
Theresa May refuse de garantir les droits des quelques trois millions de citoyens européens qui vivent au Royaume-Uni alors que son principal objectif est de réduire l'immigration en provenance de l'UE.
I dag skrivs historia - Theresa May trycker på brexit-knappen
29 March 2017
Svenska YLE
Forskaren Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska vid tankesmedjan Centre of European Reform i London tror att May nu kommer att ha en mer försonlig ton.
- Det ton hon använder i sitt brev och i sitt tal är av enorm betydelse för att förhandlingarna ska komma på rätt spår från dag ett. Om hon vill få en bra början kan hon inte komma tuffa krav utan måste vara både konstruktiv och flexibel...
- Det ton hon använder i sitt brev och i sitt tal är av enorm betydelse för att förhandlingarna ska komma på rätt spår från dag ett. Om hon vill få en bra början kan hon inte komma tuffa krav utan måste vara både konstruktiv och flexibel...
Tagesschau: Was bedeutet der Austritt für Großbritannien und die EU?
29 March 2017
Tagesschau looks at the predicted exit bill for Britain leaving the EU.
Nieuwsuur: Article 50
29 March 2017
Rem Korteweg talks to Nieuwsuur about the triggering of Article 50 and the forthcoming negotiations (from 20.51).
Es ist ein Beispiel von Selbstbeschädigung
28 March 2017
Die Presse
Simon Tilford, Chief Economist des Centre for European Reform in London, über die bevorstehenden Brexit-Verhandlungen.
The six sticking points that could stymie a Brexit deal
28 March 2017
Handelsblatt
“These talks may prove to be the most difficult and complex negotiation conducted by a British government since the Congress of Versailles after World War I,” Charles Grant, an analyst at the Centre for European Reform, wrote in a recent study for the European Parliament.
When are Brexit talks 2017? Timeline of key dates after UK triggers Article 50
28 March 2017
The Express
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, a research fellow at the Centre for European Reform (CER), said argued that the other 27 countries will have the “upper hand”.
She said: “It is vital that Theresa May strikes the right tone in her notification letter and get the negotiations on the right track from day one.”
She said: “It is vital that Theresa May strikes the right tone in her notification letter and get the negotiations on the right track from day one.”
Why does the UK have to pay the EU divorce bill?
28 March 2017
International Business Times
Late last year, it was thought that the European Commission was seeking an exit bill of €60bn – around £50bn. However, in February, the Centre for European Reform (CER) estimated that the bill could range from €25-73bn...The CER calculates what we can expect to pay based on what we owe, and what we can offset. It estimates something between €25bn (based on honouring commitments made in annual budgets and maximising UK receipts), and €73bn (maximum obligations, minimum receipts).
As Brexit begins, the British face a Europe with far more at stake
28 March 2017
The Washington Post
Simon Tilford, deputy director of the pro-EU, London-based Centre for European Reform, said British officials are “naive” because they don’t realise their demands are seen across the continent as an example of “egregious free riding.”
“It would appear that they realise they can’t have their cake and eat it. But it’s wrong to say that the British government understands now what is possible and what isn’t,” Tilford said. “They’re still much too optimistic about the amount of leverage Britain has in this process, and the amount of wiggle room the other side has.”
“It would appear that they realise they can’t have their cake and eat it. But it’s wrong to say that the British government understands now what is possible and what isn’t,” Tilford said. “They’re still much too optimistic about the amount of leverage Britain has in this process, and the amount of wiggle room the other side has.”
UK braces for an 'emotional' EU backlash
27 March 2017
Bloomberg
May could also use the letter she will send on Wednesday to EU President Donald Tusk to smooth waters, perhaps by indicating a willingness to discuss an exit fee. “Britain needs goodwill,” Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, a research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said in a recent report. “If May does not want to further antagonize her partners she should be humble, constructive and flexible in her letter.”