Press

Et sådant skridt vil formentlig føre til et totalt stop for russisk olie- og gaseksport til Europa. Vil vi kunne leve med det i en situation med mangelfulde leverancer og stærkt stigende energipriser? »Det er ikke et ideelt tidspunkt her til vinter. Olie kan vi købe andre steder på verdensmarkedet. Men gas er et problem, fordi størsteparten transporteres i rørledninger. Der er muligheder, blandt andet LPG (flydende gas, der transporteres i containere, red.), men kan den erstatte al den gas, der kommer fra Rusland? Formentlig ikke,« svarer Ian Bond.
 

“After 16 years of very little progress, I think Germany is in for a bit of a modernization shock,” said Christian Odendahl, the Berlin-based chief economist for the Centre for European Reform.

“This cannot happen again. This is on the mind of everybody,” says Camino Mortera-Martinez of the Centre for European Reform in Brussels.

Una de las aportaciones de este colectivo procede del think tank Centre for European Reform, que este viernes publicaba un artículo apoyando la idea de que el fondo de recuperación se convierta en una herramienta permanente: “A pesar de su tamaño, no es lo suficientemente grande como para mover permanentemente la inversión climática.

“Germany is seen [in Washington] as quite a reliable and stable ally, but also as an ally with a strong voice in Europe,” said Sophia Besch, a defence and foreign policy expert at the Centre for European Reform. “A Germany that finds consensus within Europe before coming to the US is the kind of partner that the US wishes for.”

Camino Mortera-Martínez, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said the new measures amounted to “rubber-stamping the behavior” of Poland, Latvia and Lithuania. “Especially Poland, which has been breaking all asylum laws possible,” she said.

"Ils vont devoir travailler ensemble. Mais peuvent-il y arriver quand les relations sont si mauvaises, avec toujours le risque que l'un dise que l'autre n'en fait pas assez ?", s'interroge John Springford, expert au Centre for European Reform (CER) à Londres.

One way of trying to screen out the effects of Covid-19 and other factors is to measure UK trade against a ‘doppelgänger’ UK that had not exited the EU, built around modelling the trade performance of other advanced economies such as the US, Germany, Greece, New Zealand and Sweden. This is what has generated the below chart from John Springford at the Centre for European Reform (CER) whose work was referenced by the OBR in its October update.