Research

„Europos gynybos pramonė yra struktūriškai pritaikyta gaminti mažais kiekiais, todėl jai reikėjo didinti gamybą. Tai vyko lėtai dėl dviejų priežasčių. Viena jų susijusi su sunkumais didinant gamybą, apsirūpinant žaliavomis, darbo jėga, kuriant naujas gamybos linijas ir pan.“, – IQ aiškino Europos gynybos pramonės nesugebėjimą įsibėgėti Europos reformų centro (CER) vyresnysis mokslo darbuotojas Luigi Scazzieri, kuris neseniai parengė studiją „Can European defence take off?“ („Ar Europos gynyba gali įsibėgėti?“).

“Germany knows that it needs the same kind of fiscal policy as America,” Sander Tordoir, a senior economist at the Centre for European Reform, told me. “But it has placed a straitjacket on itself that it can’t escape.”

“The UK’s weak trade performance is unusual among advanced economies,” said John Springford, associate fellow at the Centre for European Reform think-tank. He added that most countries saw an increase in goods trade after the pandemic, but “the UK did not participate in the boom thanks to the trade barriers that it imposed upon itself”. “The obvious culprit is Brexit,” he said.

Europe must enhance its digital economy amid challenges from China and the US, according to an agenda for the next Commission by the Centre for European Reform. According to the report, the next European Commission must focus on implementing digital laws effectively, fostering a privacy-friendly data economy, and investing in connectivity and infrastructure.

The next Commission should change the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) to help the European digital economy take off, a new report from the Centre for European Reform said. 

A recent Goldman Sachs study is the latest to argue that UK GDP is already as much as 5 per cent smaller as a result of the vote to leave the EU. This is in the same ballpark as estimates by John Springford at the Centre for European Reform (CER), and others who have used a similar approach.

Goldman Sachs nye anslag er i samme størrelsesordenen som andre ferske analyser fra Cambridge Econmetrics (som mener brexit har kostet Storbritannia 140 milliarder pund i tapt vekst) og tankesmien Centre for European Reform, som anslår at Storbritannia taper rundt 100 milliarder pund i årlige eksportinntekter.