Research & Press

Trump and the Iran deal: Not yet the nuclear option?

13 December 2017
Trump has placed the international nuclear agreement with Iran in jeopardy. The EU should try to save the deal, but be prepared in case it fails.

The biggest Brexit boon for Germany? Migration

11 December 2017
Germany's economy desperately needs qualified immigrants to fill 780,000 jobs. Brexit will help it to do so.

UK + EU = Canada+?

01 December 2017
A post-Brexit deal along the lines of the EU-Canada trade agreement would do a lot of damage to the British economy. Can the UK hope for anything better?

Ten predictions for the Brexit talks

29 November 2017
Arguments over the Irish border may block the start of talks on the future EU-UK relationship. When those talks begin, the EU will reject British proposals for a bespoke deal.

PESCO: Paper tiger, paper tanks?

29 November 2017
For PESCO to become more than another EU defence paper tiger, it must develop effective assessment mechanisms and deliver on filling European capability gaps.

All is not well in the Visegrad economies

Simon Tilford
29 November 2017
On the face of it the Visegrad – the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia – appear to be doing quite well economically. But there are problems behind the headline growth figures.

A new deal for the eurozone: Remedy or placebo?

24 November 2017
The eurozone is finally witnessing an economic upturn but if it fails to win back the support of disaffected citizens, the bloc could face an existential crisis.

Can EU funds promote the rule of law in Europe?

Jasna Šelih with Ian Bond and Carl Dolan
21 November 2017
The EU is a values-based organisation, yet it does not insist that member-states respect its values in order to receive EU funds. That should change.

Dig for Victory?

Christian Odendahl, Beth Oppenheim, Christopher Haskins
16 November 2017
A UK trade deal with the US will create more problems for British agriculture and food consumers than it would solve.

Trump's trade policy: Separating the normal from the dangerous

10 November 2017
Some of Trump's trade actions are traditionally American. Others threaten the future of the World Trade Organisation. Europeans should look past his insults and prepare a response.

Relaunching the EU

07 November 2017
The EU is ripe for fundamental reform. New policies are needed for migration and the euro. The EU also needs more flexible structures so that countries can opt in and out of key policies.

How the EU and third countries can manage migration

01 November 2017
The EU's response to migrants crossing the Mediterranean is shifting from internal reforms to deals with countries in Africa and Asia. This approach has potential pitfalls and upsides.

Populism – culture or economics?

John Springford, Simon Tilford
30 October 2017
Are economic factors to blame for the rise of populism, or is it a cultural backlash? The answer is a bit of both: economic weakness strengthens social conservatives' illiberal views.

Turkey and the EU: No end to the drift

16 October 2017
Turkey's slide away from the West encompasses both values and foreign policy. But if the EU ended the accession negotiations without an alternative in place, it would only worsen the problem.

EU enlargement: Door half open or door half shut?

09 October 2017
EU enlargement has spread peace and prosperity, but it has now stalled. The EU should keep the door open, and prepare countries for coming inside.
Crunch time in Catalonia: Why Spain needs a constitutional overhaul

Crunch time in Catalonia: Why Spain needs a constitutional overhaul

04 October 2017
Catalonia's illegal referendum has resulted in a constitutional crisis in Spain. Madrid needs to urgently revise the country's model of regional government.
How the ECB should respond to a German fiscal boost

How the ECB should respond to a German fiscal boost

26 September 2017
A German stimulus has the potential to help the eurozone economy. But how the ECB reacts is key.

Brexit and energy: Time to make some hard choices

Sir Philip Lowe
25 September 2017
If Britain quits the EU’s single energy market, it will have to invest more in electricity generation, pay higher prices and accept a bigger state role in the energy sector.
Is the eurozone really out of the woods?

Is the eurozone really out of the woods?

Simon Tilford
22 September 2017
Can the eurozone avoid another crisis without further significant reforms? Much will depend on the longevity of the current upturn and the depth of the next downturn.

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