Research
Trump to be greeted by pomp and protest on UK visit
02 June 2019
The Wall Street Journal
“I don’t think we will be signing a large-scale trade agreement with the US any time soon,” said Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, a London-based think tank. The only way that could happen in the short term is if the UK leaves the EU without a deal to smooth its exit, he added, a prospect that the government has warned could do serious damage to the economy.
Dominic Raab's dodgy details not out of place in Tory race
31 May 2019
The Irish Times
In an invaluable new paper Sam Lowe looks in detail at the kind of alternative arrangements that would be needed to keep the Border free of physical infrastructure and associated checks after Brexit.He points out that, even if efficient systems of online predeclaration of goods, trusted trader schemes and tracking technology are developed, some checks will still be necessary away from the Border. And any system would require an intensification in anti-smuggling measures near the Border, either through intelligence-led policing or electronic surveillance.
The special relationship may be awkward under Trump – but it is vital to Brexit Britain
31 May 2019
Euronews
President Donald Trump’s state visit to the UK from 3 to 5 June may show the relationship between the UK and US is more awkward than special these days.
Europe's Green parties grow new support
29 May 2019
The Wall Street Journal
“There will be a push for more environmental policies in Europe,” said Camino Mortera-Martinez, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank. “Co-ordination with the US will depend on who is president and on how strongly candidates in the election will push for a Green New Deal.”
BBC World Service: European top jobs
29 May 2019
Camino Mortera, a senior research fellow for the Centre of European Reform spoke to the BBC World Service about the top jobs at the Commission and Council (from 10:44).
The toxic legacy of Theresa May, the PM who legitimised no-deal Brexit
29 May 2019
The New Statesman
British food exporters would face tariffs of 14 per cent, according to the Centre for European Reform (CER). Car imports would face a 10 per cent tariff, and supply chains would be massively disrupted. Many British products would no longer be accredited to sell across the EU. British airlines could no longer be able to fly to, or within, Europe.
Europe must prevent a German stranglehold on the ECB
29 May 2019
The Telegraph
It’s no secret that Bundesbank boss Jens Weidmann would like to succeed Mario Draghi as president of the European Central Bank.
How the Kremlin sees the rest of the world
29 May 2019
The New Statesman
Russian analysts reckon the US will be less focused on intervening around the world and will be more nationalist, mercantilist and interest-focused.
ECB contender Weidmann: A star at home facing scepticism abroad
29 May 2019
The Financial Times
“To meet the challenges that lie ahead — a weakening eurozone economy and a potential debt crisis in Italy — the ECB will need to implement bolder monetary policy than seen to date,” said Christian Odendahl of the Centre for European Reform think-tank. “The eurozone needs someone bolder than Draghi — not a conservative like Weidmann.”
Sky News: European parliament elections
28 May 2019
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform spoke on Sky News about the EU summit, and how the European Elections will shape alliances in the new parliament.
Jeremy Hunt's no-deal Brexit flip-flopping hardly inspires confidence
28 May 2019
The Telegraph
"Ultimately, the question of whether the Withdrawal Agreement could ever be reopened is entirely political: is it in the EU's interest to do so?" the Centre for European Reform's trade guru Sam Lowe tells me. "Nothing about the proposals being put forward by some of the leadership candidates suggests it is."
European elections expose polarized British public
27 May 2019
Deutsche Welle
"I think the first thing that we're going to see is a clarification of Labour's position on Brexit," said Camino Mortera-Martinez, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform. "They cannot sit on the fence any longer. They might finally become the party of remain and the second referendum."
Europeias: Analistas destacam forte afluência em eleições sem grandes surpresas
27 May 2019
Diario de Noticias
A analista do 'think tank' Centre for European Reform Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska concorda que "um dos destaques destas eleições é a taxa de participação"."A UE conseguiu inverter uma tendência preocupante, registou um aumento do interesse público e isso são boas notícias", até porque "uma elevada abstenção era um dos argumentos recorrentemente utilizados pelos eurocéticos para criticar a alegada falta de legitimidade democrática da UE".
BBC World: European Parliament elections 2019
27 May 2019
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform spoke on BBC World on the results of the European Parliament elections as they came in.
A fractured European parliament may be just what the EU needs
26 May 2019
The Guardian
Many think fragmentation will be no bad thing. “A more fragmented European parliament may make the European decision-making process more troublesome and fractious,” argued Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska of the Centre for European Reform.“But it could also be a boon for European democracy. Greater political competition on the EU level could increase public interest in the European parliament elections, and that would be a healthy development for the EU.”
If you’re wondering how hard a ‘Hard Brexit’ could be
24 May 2019
The Washington Post
The Centre for European Reform estimates that exiting the European single market could reduce U.K. exports of financial services to the EU by as much as 59%, slash insurance and pensions services exports by 19%, and lead to a 10% drop for other service export sectors including law, accountancy and professional services.
Immigration is key to UK’s services trade after Brexit
24 May 2019
E!Sharp
Despite its importance to the economy, the UK’s services sector has not attracted the attention it deserves in the Brexit debate. Services account for around 45 per cent of total UK exports in value terms, a high proportion for a medium-sized economy.
Theresa May rezygnuje ze łzami w oczach. "Kolejny premier może zdecydować się na drugie referendum"
24 May 2019
Gazeta.pl
Ktokolwiek zajmie stanowisko lidera partii konserwatywnej i tym samym zostanie nowym premierem, będzie miał dokładnie te same wyzwania przed sobą, co Theresa May - mówi w rozmowie z Next.gazeta.pl Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, starszą analityk w Centre for European Reform. Premier Wielkiej Brytanii ogłosiła w piątek, że zrezygnuje z funkcji premiera Wielkiej Brytanii.
Don't let Merkel win tussle for ECB job, German economist says
24 May 2019
Bloomberg
Bundesbank chief Jens Weidmann shouldn’t succeed European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, and no other German ought to get the job either, according to Centre for European Reform Chief Economist Christian Odendahl. In a report that he quips may cost him his German passport, the Berlin-based analyst argues that Weidmann is “too conservative” for a role that might require bold action, while the region’s most populous country and biggest economy already has enough influence in the running of the euro area.
Tok FM: Zaczęły się wybory do Europarlamentu - W Wielkiej Brytanii są kłopoty z głosowaniem
23 May 2019
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform commented on the European European elections in the UK.