Press
Brexit cost 330,000 drop in UK labour force, new research finds
17 January 2023
EurActiv
Brexit has resulted in the loss of 330,000 workers from the UK economy, according to new research published on Tuesday (17 January). The data published by the UK in a Changing Europe and Centre for European Reform thinktanks revealed that in September 2022, there were 460,000 fewer workers of EU-origin in the UK than if the UK had remained in the bloc, only partially offset by an increase of about 130,000 non-EU workers. The net loss of workers amounts to around 1% of the labour force.
Brexit has created shortage of 330,000 workers in UK, say economists
17 January 2023
The Independent
Post-Brexit immigration rules have led to a shortfall of around 330,000 workers in the UK, according to top economists.The ending of free movement is “contributing significantly” to current labour shortages, a joint report by the UK in a Changing Europe and the Centre for European Reform think-tanks has found. The study found the low-skilled sectors – including hospitality, retail, construction and transportation – had been badly hit by the loss of EU workers after Brexit.
Brexit rules cost Britain 330,000 workers, economists say
17 January 2023
Bloomberg
Brexit immigration curbs have led to a shortfall of 330,000 workers in the UK, contributing to a tighter labor market and fueling inflation, a report showed. Low-skilled sectors including retail and hospitality have been hit hardest by the end of freedom of movement following the UK’s departure from the European Union, an analysis by the Centre for European Reform found.
Europe's warm winter is robbing Putin of a trump card
16 January 2023
CNN
“Governments could do more to incentivize and speed up the development of renewable sources of energy,” says John Springford, deputy director at the Centre for European Reform. “A big step would be giving the green light to onshore wind. It would also be wise for governments to build storage capacity for liquid natural gas (LNG), which can happen fairly quickly and directly reduces the need for Russian gas.”
London’s Brexit 2023: Sadiq Khan, Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer on the elephant in the room
16 January 2023
London World
He [Sadiq Khan] also referred to a Centre for European Reform estimate that the cost to the Treasury in lost tax revenues due to Brexit is £40bn. “So, repairing our relationship with Europe would mean we can better support the NHS,” he said.
The fog in the English Channel is clearing a bit
16 January 2023
Reuters
Agreements on science and finance would not be that controversial within the ruling Conservative Party. But a deal on Northern Ireland could be. So if Sunak uses up some political capital on pushing that through, he may lack the appetite for doing anything else that would antagonise pro-Brexit parliamentarians, says Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform.
A united Europe weathers crises, but deeper challenges remain
14 January 2023
The New York Times
“It’s astonishing that the Europeans have kept together so far,” said Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform. “But the worry is that given stagflation, high energy prices, migration and deficits, populists might exploit divisions and push Ukraine to make an early peace. As the war goes on, divisions in these two camps will get worse.”
LRT TV: Žinios. Naujausia „Eurobarometro“ apklausa: lietuviai – bene mažiausiai užtikrinti dėl savo ateities karo Ukrainoje akivaizdoje
12 January 2023
Anot I. Bondo, dalies šalių, pavyzdžiui, Graikijos, poziciją galima paaiškinti ekonominiais ryšiais su Rusija, kuriems trukdo sankcijos. Bet kitų valstybių gyventojų nuomonę suprasti sunku.„Baltijos šalys irgi kažkada glaudžiai bendradarbiavo su Rusija ir Baltarusija, bet tai neturi įtakos Ukrainos palaikymui. Nemanau, kad to priežastis – vien ekonominiai sumetimai“, – įsitikinęs Europos reformų centro užsienio politikos vadovas.
CER podcast: The cost of Brexit
11 January 2023
In this week’s episode of the CER podcast Helmi Pillai interviews John Springford about his most recent cost of Brexit analysis.
Taxman taken to task by MPs after failing to collect £42bn
11 January 2023
The Times
Failures at HM Revenue and Customs mean £42 billion in taxes have not been collected and people are being let down by poor customer service. What that could pay for? The annual tax shortfall caused by Brexit (Centre for European Reform).
Royaume-Uni : « Entrer enfin dans l’âge de raison du Brexit »
10 January 2023
Le Monde
Entre le deuxième trimestre 2016, date du référendum, et celui de 2022, le Royaume-Uni a connu une croissance inférieure de 5,5 % à celle d’un groupe d’une quarantaine de pays comparables qui connaissaient, les années précédentes, une croissance similaire, selon les calculs du Centre for European Reform, un groupe de réflexion. Le volume du commerce extérieur britannique a également augmenté de 7 % de moins que ce groupe. Et les investissements sont de 11 % inférieurs.
Can UK science and technology recover from Brexit?
09 January 2023
Encompass
When Boris Johnson agreed the Brexit divorce package with the EU, he promised it would unleash innovation, turning Britain into an agile “science superpower”. But rather than boost UK science and technology, Brexit has – so far – damaged it.
Big European telecom operators seek EU antitrust clearance for online advertising bid
09 January 2023
EurActiv
However, for Zach Meyers, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, privacy might be a big stumbling block for the initiative. “Users probably understand tracking from online players like Google because they aren’t paying for those services directly. That is quite different to being tracked for a service users are already paying for,” Meyers said.
Britse economie doet het nauwelijks beter dan die van Poetin
05 January 2023
De Standaard
De Britse denktank Centre for European Reform berekende dat de Britse economie sinds de uitstap 5,5 procent trager gegroeid is dan als het land in de EU gebleven was. Bovendien wordt het VK ook nog eens door een zware stakingsgolf geteisterd.
Public opinion shifts but will Britain look to rejoin the EU?
04 January 2023
The National
John Springford, at the Centre for European Reform, who tracks the impact of Brexit on the economy, calculates that tax revenues for the year to the end of June 2022 were £40 billion lower — this as Britain is hit by a wave of public worker strikes, with the government maintaining it does not have enough cash to meet their demands.
Rishi Sunak’s maths drive does not add up
04 January 2023
The New European
The Centre for European Reform says Brexit may have reduced UK goods trade by around 7% in the second quarter of 2022.
Britten beginnen te accepteren dat de brexit een slecht idee was
04 January 2023
Het Financieele Dagblad
Het Centre for European Reform (CER), een Britse denktank, houdt al jaren bij hoe de prestaties van de Britse economie zich verhouden tot wat verwacht zou mogen worden als het VK bij de EU was gebleven. Daarvoor werden de prestaties van 22 andere landen in een computermodel gestopt om een 'dubbelganger' van het VK te maken, die zich voor de brexit vrijwel identiek gedroeg als het echte VK.
The impact of Brexit, in charts: How has leaving the EU affected Britain?
03 January 2023
The Economist
John Springford of the CER, tries to isolate the effect of Brexit by constructing a phantom country that tracked Britain’s performance before 2016’s referendum result. By using an algorithm to pick from a set of 22 countries rather than just selecting, say, a few economies of a similar size, he builds a plausible description of Britain’s path had it not voted to leave the eu (see chart 1). He estimates that by the second quarter of 2022, Brexit had hit gdp by as much as 6% relative to this counterfactual. Using the same method, he reckons that Brexit dragged down investment by 11%.
War in Ukraine bolstered EU solidarity — will it last?
03 January 2023
Voice of America
“At the moment, solidarity is pretty strong” among European citizens, said John Springford, deputy director for the Centre for European Reform think-tank. “But if the Ukraine war turns into a complete stalemate, things might get more difficult.”
The A to Z of Brexit being done
02 January 2023
The Independent
C- Customs: Although the picture was initially confused by coronavirus, the effect on trade of leaving the single market two years ago was immediate and negative. It is now possible to quantify the damage. John Springford of the Centre for European Reform estimates that national income is 5.5 per cent lower than it would otherwise have been.