Press

Brexit bill: No longer if, but when and how much

07 August 2017
Politico
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform think-tank, said such a proposal had merit and could allow the Brexit talks to progress to the next phase. “There is a strong feeling among UK and EU officials that the best way to present the Brexit bill is as payments during a transition, in return for market access,” he said. “Three years of paying about £10 billion a year would mean the UK handing over a large part of what the EU wants — not all of it, but enough to create goodwill and probably to get the EU to talk about trade.”

Germany's trade surplus

Christian Odendahl
05 August 2017
Moneyweek
A paper by economist Christian Odendahl of the Centre for European Reform questions this account of Hartz, finding that the total number of hours worked in Germany has barely increased since the end of the 1990s, while the number of low-paid jobs and of Germans at risk of poverty have both spiked during the same period.

Tok FM: Brexit - czy rząd brytyjski ma opracowaną strategię?

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
04 August 2017
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska talks to Tok FM about the UK government and if it has developed a Brexit strategy.

Eurozone hopes PIIGS may fly

Simon Tilford
03 August 2017
Marketplace
Not all economists are saluting the Germans, however, nor are they all overly impressed by the latest rosy assessment of the bloc’s performance. Simon Tilford of the Centre for European Reform said the austerity program made matters worse in Greece, and that country has still not really rebounded.

Militärmacht auf dem Weg ins Abseits

Sophia Besch
30 July 2017
Frankfurter Allgemeine
Mit der Abkoppelung von Europa bekommt dieser Wehrbeitrag eine neue Stoßrichtung: „Die Sicherheitspolitik soll auch der Brexit-Prosperitätsagenda dienen, das Land als globale Macht aufzustellen – nicht nur als spezialisierte Militärmacht im europäischen Verbund“, sagt Sophia Besch, Expertin für Sicherheitspolitik am Center for European Reform in London.

No Dunkirk spirit can save Britain from Brexit defeat

Simon Tilford
28 July 2017
The New York Times
As Simon Tilford at the Center for European Reform has pointed out, Britain will be much less attractive to the foreign-owned businesses that generate half its exports once they cannot sell to the Continent without barriers.

Dublin heaps pressure on May over Northern Ireland

28 July 2017
Financial Times
Charles Grant, director of the think-tank the Centre for European Reform, said there was a nearly 50 per cent chance that Britain remains in a customs union with the EU indefinitely — in a move that would open up the possibility of a soft Irish border.
“If Labour as a bloc [at Westminster] decides that Britain should stay in a customs union, then there is no parliamentary majority for not being in a customs union,” he said.

Special report: Poland's constitutional crisis threatens to pull EU apart

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
27 July 2017
The Telegraph
"We tend to focus on Hungary and UK but there are other member states - including Germany - who will not want to risk acting against Poland particularly if they can trade Polish support in other policy areas, " says Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska, eastern EU expert at the Centre for European Reform, the London think-tank.

Brytyjski dziennik: Użycie art. 7 wobec Polski grozi rozerwaniem UE

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
27 July 2017
Fakty interia
Cytowana przez gazetę Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska z Centre for European Reform powiedziała, że "zazwyczaj skupiamy się na Węgrzech i Wielkiej Brytanii, ale są też inne kraje, w tym Niemcy, które nie chcą ryzykować działania przeciwko Polsce, szczególnie jeśli mogą przehandlować to za polskie poparcie w innych obszarach".

9 reasons why (some) Brits hate Europe’s highest court

25 July 2017
Politico
But not everyone agrees. Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said he was not convinced many people have a problem with the ECJ. “It is a fairly small minority,” he said.

Poland's president defies government as he vetoes controversial judiciary reforms

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
24 July 2017
The Telegraph
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, a senior analyst at the Centre for European Reform, said Poland may still be open to infringement proceedings as Mr Duda approved the third bill on Common Courts. 
"The Commission will now be reluctant to go as far as recommending member states triggering Article 7 proceedings, but it will definitely want to send a signal that the case is not closed," she said. 
"It might still want to open an infringement procedure against the law on reforming of the Common Courts, if it feels there are legal grounds."

How Trump set Poland on the path to dictatorship

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
21 July 2017
The Daily Beast
“I just don’t see the appetite for such measures among the member states,” says Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, an analyst at Centre for European Reform, a London-based think tank. “And it’s not just Hungary. Germany, too, will be reluctant to isolate Poland. So the Commission might well activate Article 7, but it will likely end at that.”

9 ways Britain could stay in the European Union

21 July 2017
Politico
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, agreed. "The political imperative of keeping the Brits in the club would override any legal concerns," he said.

Voice of America: French military spending squeeze prompts top General's resignation

Sophia Besch
20 July 2017
Sophia Besch speaks to Henry Ridgwell as France's military head has resigned after a clash with President Emmanuel Macron over budget cuts.

Preserving peace in Ireland after Brexit

Edward Burke
18 July 2017
Financial Times
How to preserve the progress achieved since July 20 1997 is an exceptionally delicate question as the UK prepares to leave the EU. Edward Burke wrote a lucid analysis of the risks for the Centre for European Reform think-tank.

How to beat the ticking Brexit clock: Let British business leaders do the talking

Miriam González Durántez
18 July 2017
The Guardian
Unlike think-tanks like the Centre for European Reform which knows more about the EU than the whole cabinet put together, the common characteristic of most of the Legatum trade commission seems to be not having worked at any time within the EU or even directly with it.
Simon Tilford

Sky News: UK lacking in preparation for the Brexit negotiations

Simon Tilford
18 July 2017
Simon Tilford speaks with Sky's Ian Brady on the EU's frustration with Britain over its lack of preparation for the Brexit negotiations.
 

David Davis' big Brexit bout eclipsed by scrap in London

17 July 2017
Financial Times
Spread over two or three years, annual payments of about €10bn net would address one of the EU's biggest concerns - a budget crunch that forces it to prematurely reopen its long-term budget before 2020. Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform has heard that may be enough for some capitals.

Britain's Conservative cabinet shambles over Brexit

17 July 2017
Financial Times
According to Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform, the Treasury has written an unpublished analysis that shows that the economic benefits of Mr Fox’s future trade agreements with non-EU states would be significantly less than the economic cost of leaving the customs union. Such a document, if leaked or published, could be a blow to Mr Fox’s position.

CER podcast: Brexit negotiations: Players and process on the EU side

Sophia Besch, Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
17 July 2017
Sophia Besch talks to Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska about the role of the European Commission, the member-states, the European Parliament and the ECJ in the Brexit talks.