Press

Así las cosas, una de las primeras promesas de Von der Leyen podría tener los días contados. Su margen de maniobra para convencer a los Estados miembros de que envíen a más mujeres es "limitado", según explica a Efe la investigadora del Centre for European Reform (CER) Camino Mortera-Martínez.

Sam Lowe, lead trade specialist at the Centre For European Reform think tank, added that if Parliament blocked the legislation it would leave farmers and industry utterly exposed and remove any leverage the UK might have to incentivise others to cut trade deals with the UK.

Mr Johnson clearly does want to try and implement a deal this autumn if possible. He made that clear on Thursday in his maiden address to the House of Commons as prime minister. The focus of his effort right now is on forcing the EU to think again. But the UK and EU are so far apart, that some (such as John Springford) see a different chain of events unfolding.

Según Camino Mortera-Martínez, analista del Centro para la Reforma Europea, “las coaliciones europeas son difícilmente transferibles entre ellas porque los países tienen tradiciones e historias muy distintas”.

“While the two leaders have an affinity, their interests are not always aligned,” said Luigi Scazzieri of the Centre for European Reform in London.
“Trump is unlikely to make any concessions to the UK in a trade negotiation, instead seeking maximum advantage for the US by forcing the UK to open up its agricultural sector and health service: requests that may make it impossible to reach a deal at all.”
 

Charles Grant from the Centre for European Reform says EU capitals think a no-deal outcome is now more likely than not. “They don’t trust Parliament to stop it,” he said. The Grieve manoeuvers are increasingly dismissed as noise. This is significant. It does not mean that the EU will drop the Withdrawal Agreement. “They think they are well-prepared and can take a no-deal on the chin, and they think we are less prepared,” said Mr Grant.

Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said that EU figures were increasingly pessimistic about a deal being done. “I would say that, having talked to senior figures in Brussels and other European capitals, they now believe no-deal is more likely than not,” he said.