Research
How France's presidential election could break – or make – the EU
20 April 2017
The Guardian
“It would show that liberal, pro-EU centrists may yet have a future in European politics,” says Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform. “Macron wants reforms to pep up France’s economy and strengthen its position in Europe.” A Macron win could also suggest that, after Britain’s decision to leave and the shock election of Donald Trump in the US, “the demise of liberalism, internationalism and the EU ... may not be inevitable,” Grant added.
Can he close the deal? Inside Macron's daring run for the Elysee
20 April 2017
Reuters
"For someone like Macron to win in a country that views the EU, free trade and bankers with a great deal of scepticism would be remarkable," said Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, a London-based think-tank. "It would suggest that the populist wave may have reached its peak in France and in parts of western Europe."
Germany needs a strong EU. Why would it allow Britain an easy Brexit?
19 April 2017
The Guardian
Angela Merkel’s government has no interest in indulging the UK during the negotiations – and a general election won't change that.
EU unmoved by May's election surprise
18 April 2017
iNews
Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska, a research fellow at the London-based Centre for European Reform says it could help Mrs May in the talks over the transitional period after Brexit. “This is a tricky issue, because the transition would probably mean continued jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice, and continued payments to the EU.”
Erdogan warned to tread carefully with Turkey's EU entry at stake
18 April 2017
Bloomberg
"The approval of the constitutional changes makes the prospect of Turkey's accession to the EU recede even further," Luigi Scazzieri, research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said in an emailed statement. "Many European leaders are already calling into question the future of the accession process."
After economic crisis, low birthrates challenge Southern Europe
16 April 2017
The New York Times
While dwindling populations threaten all of Europe, “the really serious problem is that some of the weakest countries are the ones with the least favorable demographics,” said Simon Tilford, the deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London. “Lower birthrates in the south will mean weaker growth and productivity, holding the birthrate down and producing more fiscal problems.”
EU not ready to act against Hungary on reforms
12 April 2017
Voice of America
Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska of the Centre for European Reform says the tools the bloc has to address rule of law issues aren’t working properly. “When a government violates European law and in the process goes against democratic values the commission can open an infringement procedure and bring the case in front of the Court of Justice. This procedure cannot be applied however when an EU government backtracks on democratic values but does not break any EU law. If the European Commission does not find any evidence that the EU law has been broken by government's reforms on higher education there is little it can do.”
EU, French militaries prepare to go it alone after Brexit, US warnings
09 April 2017
France 24
“After the British vote to leave the Franco-German couple is the obvious pair to provide leadership for EU defence,” writes research fellow Sophia Besch of the Centre for European Reform. “France will be the only country left in the EU that can credibly project force abroad, and not many initiatives can succeed in Brussels without Germany’s support.”
The emerging Trump doctrine: Don't follow doctrine
08 April 2017
New York Times
“We have learned that Trump is not so isolationist as many Europeans feared he would be — he appears to care about victims of a gas attack in Syria,” said Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform in London. “We have learned that he understands that US influence had suffered from the perception — which grew under Obama — that it was a power weakened by its reluctance to use force.”...
Merkel allies say Berlin shares Irish Brexit concerns ‘100%’
06 April 2017
The Irish Times
“I’m not sure what that means in practice,” said Christian Odendahl, chief economist and Berlin representative of the Centre for European Reform. “A German government will always be reluctant to get involved in others’ internal politics, [and] that goes for Northern Ireland as well as Scotland.”
The spat over Gibraltar will be followed by other bilateral rows
06 April 2017
The Economist
Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank, notes that all three leading candidates in the French presidential election are promising to withdraw from this treaty, which is blamed in France for the migrant camps that have sprouted around Calais.
Hardliners stay ‘Zen’ over Theresa May’s softer Brexit mantras
05 April 2017
Financial Times
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, noted that so far the Eurosceptic press was still highly supportive of Mrs May, encouraged by her resolute language on Brexit.
Theresa May begins to dismantle Brexit roadblocks
05 April 2017
Financial Times
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, predicted that Mrs May might next concede a role for European judges in a transition period, saying it could be “the next redoubt of Eurosceptic ideology to fall”.
Wojny o Gibraltar nie będzie
04 April 2017
Rzeczpospolita
– Wielka Brytania wychodząc z UE musi się liczyć z tym, że państwa członkowskie będą dbały o interesy tych, którzy zostają – mówi „Rzeczpospolitej" Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, ekspertka londyńskiego Centre for European Reform...
...– To granie na emocjach Brytyjczyków i odwracanie uwagi od potencjalnie poważnych konsekwencji gospodarczych Brexitu – uważa Gostyńska-Jakubowska.
...– To granie na emocjach Brytyjczyków i odwracanie uwagi od potencjalnie poważnych konsekwencji gospodarczych Brexitu – uważa Gostyńska-Jakubowska.
Polskie Radio: Parlament Europejski chce mieć wpływ na negocjacje
02 April 2017
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska talks to Polskie Radio about the position of the European Parliament on Brexit.
Security is risky card for Britain in Brexit talks, analysts say
31 March 2017
EurActiv
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said that in the tough talks ahead with the EU, “Britain’s strongest card is its contribution to European security.”
David Davis, Britain’s Brexit street fighter
31 March 2017
Financial Times
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, says this was the week when it became clear that Mrs May was determined to reach a deal with the EU and was ready to compromise. Securing that goal could depend much on the relationship between Mr Davis and “Michel”, who at the age of 66 is also on the comeback trail.
“Like Barnier, Davis wants a deal,” Mr Grant says. “He’s building a relationship with Barnier and that’s to his credit. For both of them, it is one last hurrah.”
“Like Barnier, Davis wants a deal,” Mr Grant says. “He’s building a relationship with Barnier and that’s to his credit. For both of them, it is one last hurrah.”
BBC Newsnight: Brexit and Article 50 - The view from Germany
30 March 2017
What do people in Germany think about the triggering of Article 50 - and the UK's decision to leave the EU? Diplomatic editor Mark Urban interviews Christian Odendahl (02:38).
May hints at using security as Brexit bargain chip
30 March 2017
EU Observer
"Any indication that the UK would use security as a bargaining chip would irritate EU partners," Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska, a research fellow at the London-based think tank, the Centre for European Reform, told EUobserver...
...Gostynska-Jakubowska told EUobserver she was struck that May kept to her agenda of concluding the divorce settlement and the future agreement in two years.
She said that the plan was "unrealistic" and that May has set "the bar really really high".
...Gostynska-Jakubowska told EUobserver she was struck that May kept to her agenda of concluding the divorce settlement and the future agreement in two years.
She said that the plan was "unrealistic" and that May has set "the bar really really high".
Brexit starts - and it’s going to be a rough road out of the EU
30 March 2017
Radio France International
“The British want to get straight into the nitty-gritty of citizens’ rights and the future relationship between the two,” says Simon Tilford, deputy director of the London-based Centre for European Reform.
“Obviously they understand they need to negotiate the divorce settlement alongside that but they want to be doing it simultaneously.
“Obviously they understand they need to negotiate the divorce settlement alongside that but they want to be doing it simultaneously.