The euro

Closing the gap between rhetoric and reality is key to the euro's survival

Closing the gap between rhetoric and reality is key to the euro's survival

Simon Tilford
10 May 2010
Europe faces a critical choice between greater integration and disintegration. The gap between the rhetoric of a united and integrated Europe and the reality of national interests and politics has always dogged Europe.
The dangers of a disgruntled Germany

The dangers of a disgruntled Germany

Katinka Barysch
07 May 2010
Germany has finally agreed to help bail out Greece. The negotiations were acrimonious and took months. Angela Merkel’s hesitation and prevarication have increased the cost of the bail-out and unsettled financial markets.
Turning Japanese?

Turning Japanese?

Simon Tilford
30 April 2010
Japan has long had the highest level of public debt of any developed economy. The country’s public debt to GDP ratio is around 200 per cent of GDP, far in excess of even the EU’s worst performers.
There can be no eurozone stability without economic growth

There can be no eurozone stability without economic growth

Simon Tilford
01 April 2010
The German government believes that tougher fiscal rules are the solution to current strains in the eurozone. No doubt such rules are necessary. But they are not enough.
Germany

Why Christine Lagarde is right about Germany

Philip Whyte
26 March 2010
Greece’s recent fiscal travails have, slightly unexpectedly, thrown the spotlight on Germany’s current-account surplus. In mid-March, France’s finance minister, Christine Lagarde, urged Germany to do more to boost domestic demand – a call echoed by the European Commission’s president, José Manuel Barroso.
It’s the economics, stupid

It’s the economics, stupid

Simon Tilford
26 February 2010
There was always a risk that a one-size-fits-all monetary policy would lead to big divergences in inflation and competitiveness across the eurozone. This, in turn, would result in trade imbalances which would be difficult to reverse.
Sharing the burden of a weaker dollar file thumbnail

Sharing the burden of a weaker dollar

Simon Tilford
01 December 2009
The eurozone has suffered a deep recession – bigger than the US and about as bad as that in the UK. Public finances across the eurozone have worsened dramatically, and in some cases now look perilous.
Euro

Greece: Nowhere to hide

Simon Tilford
08 October 2009
The Greek economy is on a very dangerous course. Unless the government takes steps to boost productivity and strengthen public finances, Greece faces a bleak future. 
Europe's imbalanced response to the financial crisis file thumbnail

Europe's imbalanced response to the financial crisis

Philip Whyte
01 October 2009
Since last year, politicians and regulators across the G20 have been hard at work trying to place the international financial system on a more stable long-term footing. Many critics believe they are not doing enough.
Issue 68 - 2009 file thumbnail

Issue 68 - 2009

Charles Grant, Clara Marina O'Donnell, Philip Whyte
25 September 2009
What if the eurozone broke up?

What if the eurozone broke up?

Tomas Valasek
23 March 2009
The future of the euro may not be secure, warned the CER’s Simon Tilford in a January 2009 essay. The current economic crisis threatens to exacerbate the tensions within the eurozone, and an insolvent member-state... could default and leave the eurozone. Since January, the economic crisis has deepened further, and the eurozone’s weakest economies have come under even greater strain. 
Germany: Between a rock and a hard place

Germany: Between a rock and a hard place

Simon Tilford
19 February 2009
Twelve months ago it seemed inconceivable that any member of the EU could face a sovereign debt crisis. It would have been the stuff of fantasy to argue that Ireland or Austria could be among those at risk.
The euro at ten

The euro at ten: Is its future secure?

Simon Tilford
07 January 2009
The euro is riding high and the financial crisis has illustrated the safe haven that membership provides. On the face of it, the future of the single currency looks rosy.
Lessons from the financial crisis: A twin-track response

Lessons from the financial crisis: A twin-track response

Philip Whyte
05 November 2008
The credit crunch has unleashed widespread anger outside the financial sector. And rightly so. Not only have taxpayers had to bail out an industry that is uncommonly well rewarded. But the effects of the credit crunch on the real economy are likely to be painful and prolonged – not least on the jobs market.
Time for the Export-Weltmeister to start consuming

Time for the Export-Weltmeister to start consuming

Simon Tilford
13 February 2008
Too many Europeans are blaming the US for the economic slowdown in Europe, as if everything would have been fine if only the Americans were not so irresponsible. This is complacent.
Politics, Sarkozy and the euro

Politics, Sarkozy and the euro

Philip Whyte
03 December 2007
Not long after its launch, the euro was famously dismissed by a disgruntled currency trader as a “toilet currency”. How things have changed. Since 2003, the euro’s external value has soared, particularly against the US dollar.