The euro

Legal options

Thomas Cromwell or the executioner's axe? Options for a Grexit

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, Camino Mortera-Martinez
10 July 2015
EU lawyers are working to find a creative way to accommodate a Grexit if it becomes inevitable. None of the options are legally watertight or desirable.
5 presidents' report

The eurozone's 'five presidents' report': An assessment

Christian Odendahl
22 June 2015
The long-awaited report rightly aims to complete a financial union in the eurozone, but over-emphasises structural reforms and underplays the need for stronger counter-cyclical policies.
Grexit

Greece: After a deal, work on a solution

Christian Odendahl
11 June 2015
A deal between Greece and its creditors is still likely but what the country really needs is a Greece-led, cross-party plan to transform its institutions. 
How will the eurozone cope with the next downturn?

How will the eurozone cope with the next downturn?

Simon Tilford
27 May 2015
Eurozone policy-makers will have little ammunition to combat the next downturn: interest rates will still be close to zero, public debt and unemployment high.
Vorsprung durch Grexit?

Vorsprung durch Grexit?

Charles Grant, Christian Odendahl
17 April 2015
German officials are sanguine about the consequences of Grexit, and view it as increasingly likely. Merkel would be well-advised to prevent it from happening.
The low-hanging fruit of European capital markets

The low-hanging fruit of European capital markets

Christian Odendahl
08 April 2015
The planned capital markets union in Europe faces many obstacles. Commissioner Hill was right to start with the lower-hanging fruit.
German rebalancing: Waiting for Godot?

German rebalancing: Waiting for Godot?

Simon Tilford
09 March 2015
Far from rebalancing, Germany’s trade surplus continues to grow. This is in nobody’s interests. The German government could and should take steps to reduce it.
Reduced to rouble?

Reduced to rouble? An update on the Russian economy

Christian Odendahl
24 February 2015
The Russian economy is heading for a long recession. Economic collapse, which could still occur, is not in the West's interests.
The implications of Syriza’s victory

The implications of Syriza’s victory

Christian Odendahl, Simon Tilford
26 January 2015
Greece is not at imminent risk of leaving the euro. But the negotiations will be difficult and uncertainties over Greece's membership will persist.
Quantitative easing alone will not ward off deflation

Quantitative easing alone will not ward off deflation

Christian Odendahl
21 January 2015
Quantitative easing alone will do little to boost the eurozone economy. The ECB needs to shift expectations and this requires a different approach to monetary policy.
Greece will remain in the euro for now

Greece will remain in the euro for now

Christian Odendahl, Simon Tilford
16 January 2015
Neither Greece nor the eurozone want Grexit, and it is unlikely to happen. But neogiations will be difficult and uncertainties over Greece's membership will persist.
Is Europe’s economic stagnation inevitable or policy-driven?

Is Europe’s economic stagnation inevitable or policy-driven?

Christian Odendahl, Simon Tilford
23 December 2014
Germany and the eurozone: The view from Paris

Germany and the eurozone: The view from Paris

16 December 2014
The French are gloomy about their relationship with the Germans and the chances of economic growth. But they are working on new ideas for eurozone governance.
Public investment: A modest proposal

Public investment: A modest proposal

01 December 2014
A eurozone-wide public investment stimulus is neither impossible nor mad, but should be part of a strategy to pull the economy off the rocks.
A Greek programme for Greece

A Greek programme for Greece

Christian Odendahl
05 November 2014
The programmes for Greece are not working. It is time for a new approach that focuses on the long-term and Greek ownership.
Why devaluing the euro is not mercantilism

Why devaluing the euro is not mercantilism

Christian Odendahl
02 October 2014
The ECB needs to be more innovative and drastic to weaken the euro. This would help the eurozone without hurting the world economy.
How to pull the eurozone out of the mire

How to pull the eurozone out of the mire

Christian Odendahl, John Springford
26 September 2014
To free the eurozone, public investment, tax cuts and monetary stimulus are needed.
Bulletin issue 98

Issue 98 - 2014

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, Christian Odendahl, John Springford, Rem Korteweg
26 September 2014